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Young Lions v Balestier Khalsa

Young Lions

1–2Full time

Balestier Khalsa

Premier League · SAT 24 OCT · Jalan Besar Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38

Young Lions 1–2 Balestier Khalsa BALESTIER KHALSA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Balestier Khalsa win~~72%

~~The market said~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.119

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.246

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 25 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Balestier Khalsa win at 72%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Balestier Khalsa 72% before kick-off, 72% now. 0–0 · 13–15–72
1′KICK-OFF Young Lions v Balestier Khalsa
4′We said Balestier Khalsa at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 0–1 · 5–8–86
4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Young Lions 0–1 Balestier Khalsa
4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Balestier Khalsa win: 72% at kick-off, 86% now
5′A goal for Balestier Khalsa on 5′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 5–8–86
22′We said Balestier Khalsa at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Young Lions 0–2 Balestier Khalsa
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Balestier Khalsa win: 72% at kick-off, 95% now
23′Balestier Khalsa score on 23′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
24′22′: H. Mizuguchi on the scoresheet for Balestier Khalsa, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
30′🟨 YELLOW · 30' Balestier Khalsa
33′The goal count is tracking the 4.4 we expected. 0–2 · 1–4–95
38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Balestier Khalsa
45′SECOND HALF Young Lions 1–2 Balestier Khalsa
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Young Lions · On: T. Kagami · Off: N. Mao
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Young Lions · On: A. Robson · Off: S. Raj
48′We said Balestier Khalsa at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–2 · 4–12–84
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Young Lions 1–2 Balestier Khalsa
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Balestier Khalsa win: 72% at kick-off, 84% now
49′Young Lions find the net on 45′. 1–2. 1–2 · 4–12–84
53′🟨 YELLOW · 45+8' Young Lions
53′HALF-TIME Young Lions 1–2 Balestier Khalsa
66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Young Lions
79′We said Balestier Khalsa at 72% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–2 · 1–9–90
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Balestier Khalsa win: 72% at kick-off, 92% now
84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Young Lions · On: A. Reefqy · Off: H. Nor
84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Balestier Khalsa · On: S. Hilman · Off: A. Akbar
84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Balestier Khalsa · On: I. Hazlan · Off: D. Goh
92′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Young Lions · On: L. Tan · Off: J. Chew
92′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Young Lions · On: I. M. Mustaqim · Off: G. Sahoo
97′SUBSTITUTION · 90+6' Balestier Khalsa · On: I. Zayan · Off: M. Kuzminski
97′SUBSTITUTION · 90+6' Balestier Khalsa · On: Z. Chua · Off: W. Chun Wei
99′1–2 at the end. Our 72% on Balestier Khalsa comes in. 1–2 · 0–0–100
99′🟨 YELLOW · 90+9' Young Lions
FTFULL TIME Young Lions 1–2 Balestier Khalsa
FTYoung Lions 1–2 Balestier Khalsa · Balestier Khalsa win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Balestier Khalsa are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Young Lions 13%, draw 15%, Balestier Khalsa 72%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Young Lions v Balestier KhalsaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Young Lions win13%

Draw15%

Balestier Khalsa win72%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 5

VenueJalan Besar Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Young Lions

Balestier Khalsa

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Singapore)

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Singapore)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Balestier Khalsa	4	−2	4
8	Young Lions	4	−16	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · balestier khalsa winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

72% The market60%

Us72%

~~Market~~60%

We make Balestier Khalsa a 72% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–3.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Young Lions v Balestier Khalsa~~1.29 – 3.08

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 11 Sept~~W0 D0 L4 · W1 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 4~~8 v 6

~~The market · Balestier Khalsa win~~60% · ours 72%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Balestier Khalsa win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Young Lions win	13%	20%	−7
Draw	15%	20%	−5
Balestier Khalsa win	72%	60%	+12
Over 2.5 goals	80%	73%	+7
Both teams to score	68%	69%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	93%	88%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	63%	54%	+9
Young Lions or draw	28%	40%	−12
Young Lions clean sheet	5%	–	–
Balestier Khalsa clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.5%

0123450 3.9 6.1 6.1 4.7 3.01 5.4 7.5 7.5 5.7 3.62 3.3 4.8 4.8 3.7 2.33 2.2 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Young Lions down, Balestier Khalsa across0–5 goals a side shown (89.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 547 Premier League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.60 goals a meeting; 9 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Young Lions at home: 0.50 scored, 3.33 conceded a game (last 6). Balestier Khalsa away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Young Lions, 3.08 for Balestier Khalsa. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.60

~~Over 2.5~~9 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~YOU 0–2 BAL · BAL 3–1 YOU · YOU 1–2 BAL · YOU 0–4 BAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 11 Sept

YOUNG LIONS

LLLL0–4 · 1–5 · 1–6 · 1–4

BALESTIER KHALSA

LLWD0–2 · 3–4 · 2–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Geylang International	4	+7	10
2	Tampines Rovers	3	+9	9
3	Home United	3	+7	7
4	Albirex Niigata S	4	+3	6
5	Tanjong Pagar	4	−3	6
6	Balestier Khalsa	4	−2	4
7	Hougang United	4	−5	1
8	Young Lions	4	−16	0