Tanjong Pagar v Hougang United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hougang United win at 57%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Hougang United 57% before kick-off, 58% now. 0–0 · 22–21–58
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tanjong Pagar v Hougang United
4. 5′🟨 YELLOW · 5' Hougang United
5. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Hougang United
6. 26′PENALTY MISSED · 26' Hougang United
7. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 25' A. Mujica · Tanjong Pagar
8. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Hougang United win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
9. 47′We said Hougang United at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 21–34–45
10. 49′We said Hougang United at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 21–35–44
11. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 45+5' Hougang United
12. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 20–39–41
13. 59′We said Hougang United at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 19–42–39
14. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Hougang United win 38%)
15. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Hougang United win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
16. 66′We said Hougang United at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 17–49–34
17. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Tanjong Pagar · On: Y. Aizu · Off: R. Fukashiro
18. 71′Hougang United score on 71′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 70–24–6
19. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Tanjong Pagar 2–1 Hougang United
20. 72′We said Hougang United at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 15–56–29 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
21. 72′We said Hougang United at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 2–1 · 71–23–6
22. 72′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 2–1 · 71–23–6
23. 74′A goal for Tanjong Pagar on 56′. 0–0 · 14–59–26
24. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Hougang United win: 57% at kick-off, 26% now
25. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Hougang United · On: A. Igami · Off: W. Jaramillo
26. 76′We said Hougang United at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 13–63–24
27. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Hougang United · On: C. Flynn-Gillespie · Off: O. Cannonier
28. 79′Tanjong Pagar find the net on 61′. 0–0 · 11–69–20
29. 79′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 97–2–0
30. 79′Tanjong Pagar find the net on 79′. 3–1. 3–1 · 97–2–0
31. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Tanjong Pagar 3–1 Hougang United
32. 80′We said Hougang United at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 10–71–19
33. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Hougang United win: 57% at kick-off, 17% now
34. 82′We said Hougang United at 57%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
35. 82′⚽ GOAL · 56' Tanjong Pagar 2–0 Hougang United · R. Fukashiro
36. 82′⚽ GOAL · 61' Tanjong Pagar 2–0 Hougang United · A. Masogo
37. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Hougang United win: 57% at kick-off, under 1% now
38. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Tanjong Pagar win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
39. 82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Tanjong Pagar
40. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 84' S. Sazali · Tanjong Pagar
41. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' L. Cardoso · Hougang United
42. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Tanjong Pagar · On: Z. Rahman · Off: N. Eunos
43. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Hougang United · On: J. Vestering · Off: A. Syafiz
44. FTFULL TIME Tanjong Pagar 2–1 Hougang United
45. FTTanjong Pagar 2–1 Hougang United · Hougang United win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.