Tanjong Pagar v Albirex Niigata S prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Tanjong PagarDrawAlbirex Niigata S

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Albirex Niigata S 76%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Albirex Niigata S are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tanjong Pagar 9%, draw 15%, Albirex Niigata S 76%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Tanjong Pagar v Albirex Niigata SBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Tanjong Pagar win9%

Draw15%

Albirex Niigata S win76%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 11:30

RoundMatchday 6

VenueJurong East Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tanjong Pagar

Albirex Niigata S

14Days since last match12

Last match: 16 Oct · Premier League (Singapore)

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Singapore)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Albirex Niigata S	4	+3	6
6	Tanjong Pagar	4	−3	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · albirex niigata s winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

76% The market–

Us76%

We make Albirex Niigata S a 76% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.8, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tanjong Pagar v Albirex Niigata S~~0.90 – 2.84

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D0 L2 · W2 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 6~~6 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tanjong Pagar win	9%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Albirex Niigata S win	76%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Tanjong Pagar or draw	24%	–	–
Tanjong Pagar clean sheet	6%	–	–
Albirex Niigata S clean sheet	41%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 9.6%

0123450 3.0 6.7 9.6 8.9 6.3 3.71 6.4 8.2 7.6 5.4 3.22 2.8 3.8 3.5 2.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tanjong Pagar down, Albirex Niigata S across0–5 goals a side shown (92.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 548 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.80 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tanjong Pagar at home: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Albirex Niigata S away: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.90 goals for Tanjong Pagar, 2.84 for Albirex Niigata S. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.80

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ALB 4–0 TAN · TAN 0–2 ALB · ALB 3–2 TAN · ALB 1–0 TAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 13 Sept

TANJONG PAGAR

LWLW0–1 · 4–3 · 0–4 · 2–1

ALBIREX NIIGATA S

WWLL4–0 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Geylang International	4	+7	10
2	Tampines Rovers	3	+9	9
3	Home United	3	+7	7
4	Balestier Khalsa	5	−1	7
5	Albirex Niigata S	4	+3	6
6	Tanjong Pagar	4	−3	6
7	Hougang United	4	−5	1
8	Young Lions	5	−17	0