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Tampines Rovers v Young Lions

Tampines Rovers
4–1Full time
Young Lions

Premier League · SUN 18 OCT · Tampines Stadium

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 15:23
Tampines Rovers 4–1 Young Lions TAMPINES ROVERS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Tampines Rovers win87%
The market said87%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.026
The market’s Brier score0.028

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay20 notes · 28 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tampines Rovers win at 87%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Tampines Rovers was 87% before kick-off and our model makes it 87% now. 0–0 · 87–9–4
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Tampines Rovers v Young Lions
  4. 7′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Young Lions
  5. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Tampines Rovers win: 87% at kick-off, 77% now
  6. 40′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 75%. 0–0 · 75–18–7
  7. 42′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 74%. 0–0 · 74–19–7
  8. 43′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 0–1 · 47–27–26
  9. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Tampines Rovers 0–1 Young Lions
  10. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Tampines Rovers win: 87% at kick-off, 47% now
  11. 44′Young Lions find the net on 44′. 0–1. 0–1 · 46–27–27
  12. 45′SECOND HALF Tampines Rovers 0–1 Young Lions
  13. 46′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–1 · 44–28–28
  14. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Tampines Rovers · On: K. Yamazaki · Off: Y. Kimura
  15. 51′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–30–31
  16. 51′HALF-TIME Tampines Rovers 0–1 Young Lions
  17. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Tampines Rovers win: 87% at kick-off, 37% now
  18. 56′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–31–35
  19. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Young Lions · On: S. Raj · Off: H. Nor
  20. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Young Lions win is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Tampines Rovers win 32%)
  21. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Young Lions
  22. 60′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–32–39
  23. 60′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 61%. 1–1 · 61–31–7
  24. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Tampines Rovers 1–1 Young Lions
  25. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Tampines Rovers win: 87% at kick-off, 61% now
  26. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Tampines Rovers win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Young Lions win 7%)
  27. 61′A goal for Tampines Rovers on 61′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 60–32–7
  28. 62′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 1–1 · 59–33–7
  29. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Tampines Rovers win: 87% at kick-off, 57% now
  30. 67′We said Tampines Rovers at 87%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 1–1 · 54–39–7
  31. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Young Lions
  32. 70′Goals are coming at about the 4.3 we expected. 2–1 · 93–6–1
  33. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Tampines Rovers 2–1 Young Lions
  34. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Tampines Rovers win: 87% at kick-off, 93% now
  35. 71′Tampines Rovers score on 71′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 93–6–1
  36. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Tampines Rovers · On: S. Yokoyama · Off: R. Suhaimi
  37. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Tampines Rovers · On: I. Fandi · Off: I. Najeeb
  38. 82′We published Tampines Rovers at 87%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  39. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Young Lions · On: A. Qaiyyim · Off: D. Sakai
  40. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Young Lions · On: L. Tan · Off: H. Nishido
  41. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Tampines Rovers 3–1 Young Lions
  42. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Tampines Rovers win: 87% at kick-off, over 99% now
  43. 83′Tampines Rovers find the net on 82′. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  44. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Tampines Rovers · On: I. Hakim · Off: S. Sumi
  45. 97′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.3 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  46. 97′Full time, 4–1. We called Tampines Rovers at 87% — that one lands. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  47. 97′A goal for Tampines Rovers on 90′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
  48. 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+7' Tampines Rovers 4–1 Young Lions
  49. FTFULL TIME Tampines Rovers 4–1 Young Lions
  50. FTTampines Rovers 4–1 Young Lions · Tampines Rovers win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 3–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tampines Rovers are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tampines Rovers 87%, draw 9%, Young Lions 4%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Tampines Rovers v Young LionsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Tampines Rovers win87%
Draw9%
Young Lions win4%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 4

VenueTampines Stadium

Line-ups

Tampines Rovers

Young Lions

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tampines Rovers

Young Lions

3Days since last match7

Last match: 15 Oct · AFC Champions League Two

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Singapore)

3Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Tampines Rovers2+66
8Young Lions3−130

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Tampines Rovers

Formation not confirmed

28 Z. Rohaizad

23 I. Najeeb

8 S. Shahiran

2 R. Suhaimi

6 J. Mahler

17 A. Haikal

88 K. Kazama

33 S. Sumi

81 Y. Kimura

10 F. Ramli

25 H. Higashikawa

Coach · Nazri Nasir

Substitutes

24 · S. Buhari

52 · J. Ng

16 · D. Fox

5 · A. A. Bin Azmi

26 · T. Yoshimoto

71 · I. Fandi

15 · Ong Yu En

11 · S. Yokoyama

18 · K. Yamazaki

49 · Y. Kobayashi

21 · I. Hakim

Young Lions

Formation not confirmed

45 K. Ng

11 H. Nor

4 S. Yamashita

17 I. Fandi

2 F. Fazli

5 I. M. Mustaqim

16 A. Reefqy

10 D. Sakai

36 H. Nishido

23 G. Sahoo

8 K. Whitmore

Coach · Firdaus Kassim

Substitutes

30 · J. Quan

66 · A. Qaiyyim

42 · J. Ang

27 · S. Raj

34 · L. Tan

26 · N. Iyyan

46 · S. Lee

28 · M. Fadly

56 · E. Srinivasa

Our number · tampines rovers winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
87% The market87%
Us87%
Market87%

We make Tampines Rovers an 87% chance to win. The market has them at 87%. We are level with the market. The model expects 3.6–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Tampines Rovers v Young Lions3.64 – 0.70
Form · Premier League this season · since 11 SeptW2 D0 L0 · W0 D0 L3
Table places · points 6 v 02 v 8
The market · Tampines Rovers win87% · ours 87%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
85%90% 12 OCT 04:0518 OCT 12:17
Our probability · Tampines Rovers win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 87% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Tampines Rovers win87%87%0
Draw9%9%0
Young Lions win4%4%0
Over 2.5 goals79%80%−1
Both teams to score48%48%0
Over 1.5 goals92%92%0
Over 3.5 goals62%65%−3
Tampines Rovers or draw96%96%0
Tampines Rovers clean sheet51%––
Young Lions clean sheet3%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 10.1%
0123450 1 5.0 3.8 2 8.7 6.0 2.3 3 10.1 6.8 2.5 4 9.1 6.0 2.2 5 6.7 4.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Tampines Rovers down, Young Lions across0–5 goals a side shown (82.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting5.10
Over 2.58 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsTAM 8–1 YOU · YOU 0–5 TAM · TAM 7–1 YOU · TAM 2–0 YOU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 11 Sept

TAMPINES ROVERS

WW2–0 · 4–0

YOUNG LIONS

LLL0–4 · 1–5 · 1–6

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Geylang International4+710
2Tampines Rovers2+66
3Albirex Niigata S3+56
4Tanjong Pagar4−36
5Home United2+54
6Balestier Khalsa4−24
7Hougang United4−51
8Young Lions3−130

The competition's standings before kick-off.