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Hougang United v Balestier Khalsa

Hougang United

1–2Full time

Balestier Khalsa

Premier League · MON 12 OCT · Hougang Stadium

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 15:01

Hougang United 1–2 Balestier Khalsa BALESTIER KHALSA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Balestier Khalsa win~~46%

~~The market said~~35%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.452

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.656

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 55 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Balestier Khalsa win at 46%.
0′Much as we predicted: Balestier Khalsa was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 34–20–46
2′8′ and it is 0–0: M. Kuzminski on the scoresheet for Balestier Khalsa. 0–0 · 34–20–46
3′Balestier Khalsa find the net on 11′. 0–0. 0–0 · 34–20–46
12′We published Balestier Khalsa at 46%. Our model now makes it 83%. 0–2 · 7–10–83
23′We published Balestier Khalsa at 46%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–2 · 6–10–85
30′A goal for Hougang United on 30′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 14–19–67
32′We published Balestier Khalsa at 46%. Our model now makes it 67%. 1–2 · 14–19–67
41′A red card for Hougang United on 42′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–2 · 12–19–68
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hougang United · On: O. Cannonier · Off: C. Flynn-Gillespie
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
56′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Balestier Khalsa
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
61′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Hougang United
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Balestier Khalsa · On: T. Cheng · Off: M. Kuzminski
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Balestier Khalsa · On: I. Zayan · Off: W. Chun Wei
73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
83′🟥 RED CARD · 83' Hougang United
83′🟥 RED CARD · 84' Hougang United
84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
88′🟥 RED CARD · 84' K. Nadim · Hougang United
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 91' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
92′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 92' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 93' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 94' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
95′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 95' Balestier Khalsa win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
FTFULL TIME Hougang United 1–2 Balestier Khalsa
FTHougang United 1–2 Balestier Khalsa · Balestier Khalsa win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

Hougang United win34%

Draw20%

Balestier Khalsa win46%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 12:30

VenueHougang Stadium

Line-ups

Hougang United

Balestier Khalsa

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hougang United

Balestier Khalsa

24Days since last match23

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Hougang United	2	−3	1
7	Balestier Khalsa	2	−3	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Hougang United

Formation not confirmed

17 T. Koga

11 A. Kassimi

4 W. Jaramillo

15 M. Drincic

2 M. Siby

77 L. Cardoso

6 H. Aziz

90 J. Emaviwe

10 S. Akbar

23 K. Nadim

9 C. Flynn-Gillespie

Coach · Akbar Nawas

Substitutes

31 · R. Barudin

24 · A. Yazid

8 · S. Billington

14 · A. Igami

16 · P. Somjit

38 · N. Phosri

3 · J. Vestering

56 · Z. H. Lin

26 · J. Ong

21 · A. Syafiz

99 · A. Eeshan

19 · O. Cannonier

Balestier Khalsa

Formation not confirmed

71 M. Mustapic

2 A. Akbar

12 W. Chun Wei

3 T. Salamat

25 S. Hilman

14 H. Mizuguchi

10 M. Kuzminski

7 D. Goh

18 Y. Otake

22 J. Katusa

17 T. Matic

Coach · Marko Kraljević

Substitutes

5 · D. Crichton

19 · Z. Chua

21 · H. Ahmad

24 · I. Zayan

32 · T. Cheng

33 · E. Pinto

55 · D. Hafiy

63 · I. Hazlan

65 · I. Mikail

80 · D. Irfan

81 · S. Mansor

82 · R. Putera

Our number · balestier khalsa winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

46% The market35%

Us46%

~~Market~~35%

We make Balestier Khalsa a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–2.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · balestier khalsa win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hougang United win	34%	42%	−8
Draw	20%	23%	−3
Balestier Khalsa win	46%	35%	+11
Over 2.5 goals	78%	71%	+7
Both teams to score	75%	71%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	91%	86%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	59%	51%	+8
Hougang United or draw	54%	65%	−11
Hougang United clean sheet	11%	–	–
Balestier Khalsa clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.3%

0123450 3.6 4.0 3.0 1 3.1 6.8 7.3 5.4 3.1 2 3.0 6.3 6.8 5.1 2.9 3 4.1 4.4 3.3 4 2.0 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hougang United down, Balestier Khalsa across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 542 Premier League matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

17 previous meetings, 4.29 goals a meeting; 16 of 17 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hougang United at home: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Balestier Khalsa away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.93 goals for Hougang United, 2.24 for Balestier Khalsa. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

17 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~4.29

~~Over 2.5~~16 of 17

~~Both scored~~15 of 17

~~Last meetings~~BAL 0–3 HOU · HOU 1–2 BAL · BAL 2–3 HOU · BAL 2–1 HOU

Form · last six in Premier League

HOUGANG UNITED

WWLLDL3–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 0–3

BALESTIER KHALSA

LWWWLL0–3 · 3–2 · 6–0 · 4–3 · 0–2 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Geylang International	3	+7	9
2	Tampines Rovers	2	+6	6
3	Albirex Niigata S	3	+5	6
4	Home United	2	+5	4
5	Tanjong Pagar	3	−4	3
6	Hougang United	2	−3	1
7	Balestier Khalsa	2	−3	0
8	Young Lions	3	−13	0