Home United v Tampines Rovers prediction · Premier League

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Home United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Home United 46%, draw 24%, Tampines Rovers 31%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Home United v Tampines RoversBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · postponed, not graded

Home United win46%

Draw24%

Tampines Rovers win31%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 2

VenueJalan Besar Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Home United

Tampines Rovers

3Days since last match3

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Singapore)

4Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tampines Rovers	3	+9	9
3	Home United	3	+7	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · home united winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 19 Oct 00:17 · postponed, not graded

46% The market55%

Us46%

~~Market~~55%

We make Home United a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Home United v Tampines Rovers~~1.79 – 1.43

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D1 L0 · W3 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 7 v 9~~3 v 2

~~The market · Home United win~~55% · ours 46%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Home United win The market, margin stripped

Published at 44%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Home United win	46%	55%	−9
Draw	24%	24%	0
Tampines Rovers win	31%	21%	+10
Over 2.5 goals	62%	57%	+5
Both teams to score	63%	58%	+5
Over 1.5 goals	83%	78%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	40%	37%	+3
Home United or draw	69%	79%	−10
Home United clean sheet	25%	–	–
Tampines Rovers clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 5.1 5.4 4.1 1 6.9 10.5 7.0 3.4 2 6.4 8.7 6.2 3.0 3 3.8 5.2 3.7 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Home United down, Tampines Rovers across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 547 Premier League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.10 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Home United at home: 2.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Tampines Rovers away: 2.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for Home United, 1.43 for Tampines Rovers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.10

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TAM 3–2 HOM · TAM 0–0 HOM · HOM 1–1 TAM · HOM 0–0 TAM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 11 Sept

HOME UNITED

DWW2–2 · 6–1 · 2–0

TAMPINES ROVERS

WWW2–0 · 4–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Geylang International	4	+7	10
2	Tampines Rovers	3	+9	9
3	Home United	3	+7	7
4	Albirex Niigata S	4	+3	6
5	Tanjong Pagar	4	−3	6
6	Balestier Khalsa	4	−2	4
7	Hougang United	4	−5	1
8	Young Lions	4	−16	0