Geylang International v Hougang United prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Geylang InternationalDrawHougang United

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Geylang International 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Geylang International are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Geylang International 48%, draw 23%, Hougang United 29%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Geylang International v Hougang UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Geylang International win48%

Draw23%

Hougang United win29%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 11:30

RoundMatchday 5

VenueTampines Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Geylang International

Hougang United

9Days since last match10

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Singapore)

Last match: 16 Oct · Premier League (Singapore)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · geylang international winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Geylang International a 48% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Geylang International v Hougang United~~1.96 – 1.48

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D1 L0 · W0 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 1~~1 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Geylang International win	48%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Hougang United win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Geylang International or draw	71%	–	–
Geylang International clean sheet	24%	–	–
Hougang United clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 4.1 4.4 3.6 1 6.0 9.7 6.7 3.4 2 6.2 8.7 6.4 3.2 3 4.0 5.7 4.2 2.1 4 2.0 2.9 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Geylang International down, Hougang United across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 548 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.70 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Geylang International at home: 1.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Hougang United away: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.96 goals for Geylang International, 1.48 for Hougang United. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.70

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~HOU 0–1 GEY · GEY 1–2 HOU · HOU 3–0 GEY · HOU 0–2 GEY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 12 Sept

GEYLANG INTERNATIONAL

WWWD1–0 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 0–0

HOUGANG UNITED

DLLL2–2 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Geylang International	4	+7	10
2	Tampines Rovers	3	+9	9
3	Home United	3	+7	7
4	Balestier Khalsa	5	−1	7
5	Albirex Niigata S	4	+3	6
6	Tanjong Pagar	4	−3	6
7	Hougang United	4	−5	1
8	Young Lions	5	−17	0