Albirex Niigata S v Tampines Rovers prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Albirex Niigata SDrawTampines Rovers

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Tampines Rovers 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tampines Rovers are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Albirex Niigata S 28%, draw 24%, Tampines Rovers 47%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Albirex Niigata S v Tampines RoversBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Albirex Niigata S win28%

Draw24%

Tampines Rovers win47%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:30

RoundMatchday 5

VenueJurong East Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Albirex Niigata S

Tampines Rovers

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Singapore)

1Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tampines Rovers	3	+9	9
5	Albirex Niigata S	4	+3	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tampines rovers winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Tampines Rovers a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Albirex Niigata S v Tampines Rovers~~1.32 – 1.77

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 11 Sept~~W2 D0 L2 · W3 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 6 v 9~~5 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Albirex Niigata S win	28%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Tampines Rovers win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Albirex Niigata S or draw	53%	–	–
Albirex Niigata S clean sheet	18%	–	–
Tampines Rovers clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.6 7.7 7.1 4.2 1 5.6 10.9 9.0 5.3 2.4 2 4.0 6.8 5.9 3.5 3 3.1 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Albirex Niigata S down, Tampines Rovers across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 547 Premier League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.10 goals a meeting; 10 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Albirex Niigata S at home: 2.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Tampines Rovers away: 2.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Albirex Niigata S, 1.77 for Tampines Rovers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.10

~~Over 2.5~~10 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ALB 2–1 TAM · ALB 3–2 TAM · TAM 2–1 ALB · TAM 1–3 ALB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 11 Sept

ALBIREX NIIGATA S

WWLL4–0 · 3–0 · 1–3 · 0–2

TAMPINES ROVERS

WWW2–0 · 4–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Geylang International	4	+7	10
2	Tampines Rovers	3	+9	9
3	Home United	3	+7	7
4	Balestier Khalsa	5	−1	7
5	Albirex Niigata S	4	+3	6
6	Tanjong Pagar	4	−3	6
7	Hougang United	4	−5	1
8	Young Lions	5	−17	0