Vojvodina v Radnicki 1923 prediction · Super Liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42

Vojvodina 2–0 Radnicki 1923 VOJVODINA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vojvodina win~~56%

~~The market said~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.292

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.304

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 25 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Vojvodina win at 56%.
2′Much as we predicted: Vojvodina was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–25–20
2′KICK-OFF Vojvodina v Radnicki 1923
8′🟨 YELLOW · 8' hassan hilo · Radnicki 1923
10′PENALTY MISSED · 9' Dejan Zukic · Vojvodina
13′We published Vojvodina at 56%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–13–7
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Vojvodina 1–0 Radnicki 1923
13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Vojvodina win: 56% at kick-off, 80% now
14′Vojvodina ahead on 13′ through Dejan Zukic. 1–0. 1–0 · 80–13–7
17′🟨 YELLOW · 15' Lazar Nikolic · Vojvodina
30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 80–14–6
45′HALF-TIME Vojvodina 1–0 Radnicki 1923
45′SECOND HALF Vojvodina 1–0 Radnicki 1923
51′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Radnicki 1923 · On: Mićo Kuzmanović · Off: Jovan Živković
51′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Radnicki 1923 · On: Semir Alic · Off: David Buchta
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Vojvodina · On: Stefan Mitrovic · Off: Lazar Randjelović
63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Vojvodina · On: stefan stanisavljevic · Off: Nardin Mulahusejnović
66′We published Vojvodina at 56%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Radnicki 1923 · On: V. Tomić · Off: hassan hilo
69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Vojvodina win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
71′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Njegos Petrović · Vojvodina
73′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Nemanja Glavčić · Radnicki 1923
77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Vojvodina · On: Marko Velickovic · Off: milan kolarevic
77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Vojvodina · On: Aleksa Vukanović · Off: Dejan Zukic
78′We published Vojvodina at 56%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Radnicki 1923 · On: Aleksa Marusic · Off: Uros·Sremcevic
85′We published Vojvodina at 56%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Radnicki 1923 · On: António Pina Gomes · Off: Mohamed Cisse
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Vojvodina win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Vojvodina · On: Ifet Djakovac · Off: Dragan Kokanović
91′We published Vojvodina at 56%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Petar Sukacev · Vojvodina
91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Vojvodina 2–0 Radnicki 1923
92′Marko Velickovic scores for Vojvodina on 90′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Vojvodina 2–0 Radnicki 1923
FTVojvodina 2–0 Radnicki 1923 · Vojvodina win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vojvodina are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Vojvodina 56%, draw 24%, Radnicki 1923 20%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Vojvodina v Radnicki 1923Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Vojvodina win56%

Draw24%

Radnicki 1923 win20%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueKarađorđe Stadium

Line-ups

Vojvodina

4-1-4-1

Radnicki 1923

4-1-4-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Vojvodina

Radnicki 1923

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga

Last match: 10 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Vojvodina	11	+14	25
5	Radnicki 1923	10	+5	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Vojvodina

4-1-4-1

12 D. Rosić

22 L. Nikolić

26 K. Szűcs

15 E. Mašović

27 P. Sukacev

18 N. Petrović

77 L. Ranđelović

20 D. Kokanović

10 D. Zukić

21 M. Kolarevic

99 N. Mulahusejnović

Coach · Marko Savic

Substitutes

16 · M. Butean

5 · Đ. Crnomarković

35 · I. Đakovac

66 · M. Gašić

1 · M. Gočmanac

7 · S. Mitrović

4 · M. Poletanović

19 · S. Stanisavljević

8 · M. Veličković

9 · A. Vukanović

33 · Vuk Boskan

Radnicki 1923

4-1-4-1

1 M. Šahinović

7 B. Nikčević

5 Nikola Marjanović

6 H. Hilo

11 I. Babić

80 J. Ilić

70 J. Živković

35 N. Glavčić

19 D. Buchta

10 M. Cissé

9 U. Sremčević

Coach · Fedja Dudic

Substitutes

29 · António Pina Gomes

8 · M. Kuzmanović

81 · L. Lijeskić

26 · A. Marušić

2 · M. Mezghrani

4 · N. Miličić

14 · S. Simović

99 · A. Suljić

28 · S. Alić

16 · Vanja Tomić

25 · T. Ude

Our number · vojvodina winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off

56% The market55%

Us56%

~~Market~~55%

We make Vojvodina a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.9–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Vojvodina v Radnicki 1923~~1.87 – 1.02

~~Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 22 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 25 v 17~~2 v 5

~~The market · Vojvodina win~~55% · ours 56%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Vojvodina win The market, margin stripped

Published at 55%, 56% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vojvodina win	56%	55%	+1
Draw	24%	24%	0
Radnicki 1923 win	20%	21%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	55%	58%	−3
Both teams to score	54%	57%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	79%	78%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	33%	37%	−4
Vojvodina or draw	80%	79%	+1
Vojvodina clean sheet	36%	–	–
Radnicki 1923 clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 6.7 4.8 3.0 1 9.5 11.5 5.4 2 9.6 9.7 4.9 3 6.0 6.0 3.1 4 2.9 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vojvodina down, Radnicki 1923 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,572 Super Liga matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.3% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vojvodina at home: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Radnicki 1923 away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.87 goals for Vojvodina, 1.02 for Radnicki 1923. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~RAD 0–1 VOJ · VOJ 4–1 RAD · VOJ 0–0 RAD · VOJ 3–2 RAD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 22 Aug

VOJVODINA

WWWWDW1–0 · 5–0 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 4–1

RADNICKI 1923

WDDWWL2–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 5–0 · 5–3 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FK Crvena Zvezda	11	+24	31
2	Vojvodina	11	+14	25
3	IMT Novi Beograd	11	+6	18
4	Železničar Pančevo	10	+7	17
5	Radnicki 1923	10	+5	17
6	Radnik Surdulica	12	+1	17
7	Mladost Lucani	11	−2	17
8	Novi Pazar	11	−2	13
9	Cukaricki	11	−6	12
10	FK Partizan	10	−1	11
11	OFK Beograd	11	−8	10
12	Macva	11	−11	9
13	Radnicki NIS	11	−11	8
14	Zemun	11	−16	3