Home › Football › Super Liga › Radnik Surdulica v Radnicki NIS
Back

Radnik Surdulica v Radnicki NIS
Radnik Surdulica
Radnicki NISSuper Liga · FRI 16 OCT · Stadion FK Radnik
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Radnik Surdulica win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Radnik Surdulica 42% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–28–29
- 1′KICK-OFF Radnik Surdulica v Radnicki NIS
- 11′🟨 YELLOW · 10' Franck Kanouté · Radnicki NIS
- 16′Radnicki NIS are down to ten from 15′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 41–31–28
- 16′🟥 RED CARD · 15' Franck Kanouté · Radnicki NIS
- 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Martin Novakovic · Radnik Surdulica
- 30′Radnik Surdulica have had 7 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 38–35–27
- 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' dorde petrovic · Radnicki NIS
- 35′8 shots for Radnik Surdulica, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 37–37–26
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Radnik Surdulica win 35%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Radnicki NIS
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Radnicki NIS · On: Kwaku Bonsu Osei · Off: A. Shestyuk
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Radnicki NIS · On: Marko Mijailović · Off: dorde petrovic
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Radnicki NIS · On: Igor Ivanović · Off: Gboly Ariyibi
- 46′45′: Vukasin Bogdanovic on the scoresheet for Radnik Surdulica, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 76–19–5
- 46′We said Radnik Surdulica at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–19–5
- 46′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 76–19–5
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 45' Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Radnicki NIS · Vukasin Bogdanovic (penalty)
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Radnik Surdulica win: 42% at kick-off, 76% now
- 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Radnik Surdulica win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
- 46′SECOND HALF Radnik Surdulica 1–0 Radnicki NIS
- 58′56′: Aleksandar Pejović on the scoresheet for Radnik Surdulica. 1–0 · 79–17–4
- 59′We said Radnik Surdulica at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 59′We said Radnik Surdulica at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 56' Radnik Surdulica 2–0 Radnicki NIS · Aleksandar Pejović (assist Uros Lazic)
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Radnik Surdulica win: 42% at kick-off, 97% now
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Radnik Surdulica · On: Luka Jovanović · Off: Emmanuel Quarshie
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Radnik Surdulica · On: Otabek Shukurov · Off: Aleksandar Pejović
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' David Stojanovic · Radnik Surdulica
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Radnicki NIS · On: Damjan Krajisnik · Off: Radomir Milosavljević
- 79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Issah Abass · Radnicki NIS
- 81′We said Radnik Surdulica at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Radnik Surdulica · On: Luka Žorić · Off: Vukasin Bogdanovic
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Radnik Surdulica · On: Filip Zunic · Off: Tijan Sohna
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Luka Jovanović · Radnik Surdulica
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Radnicki NIS · On: stefan nikolic · Off: Luka Izderic
- 90′3–0 at the end. Our 42% on Radnik Surdulica comes in. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Radnik Surdulica 3–0 Radnicki NIS · Martin Novakovic (assist Luka Jovanović)
- 94′Martin Novakovic scores for Radnik Surdulica on 90′. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Radnik Surdulica 3–0 Radnicki NIS
- FTRadnik Surdulica 3–0 Radnicki NIS · Radnik Surdulica win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassRadnik Surdulica are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Radnik Surdulica 42%, draw 30%, Radnicki NIS 28%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Radnik Surdulica win42%
Radnicki NIS win28%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueStadion FK Radnik
Match timeline
All events
Radnik SurdulicaMIN
Radnicki NISEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Radnik Surdulica
4-2-3-1
Radnicki NIS
4-5-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Radnik Surdulica
Radnicki NIS
Last match: 10 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga
Last match: 11 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Radnik Surdulica
4-2-3-1
99 S. Randjelovic
22 U. Lazić
6 David Stojanović
37 S. Abubakar
2 Tijan Sohna
5 M. Popović
28 A. Pejović
47 Emmanuel Quarshie
30 M. Novaković
88 Đ. Jovanović
9 V. Bogdanović
Coach · Zoran Rendulic
Substitutes
23 · Lazar Radojicic
3 · Luka Žorić
18 · F. Žunić
7 · D. Stojanović
29 · O. Shukurov
14 · Uroš Ilić
92 · A. Kosiah
25 · Teo Lakić
49 · D. Markočević
34 · Nikša Blagojević
20 · L. Jovanovic
Radnicki NIS
4-5-1
12 I. Kostić
71 D. Petrović
5 N. Zečević
3 R. Jokić
18 S. Veličković
7 I. Abass
89 Luka Izderic
6 F. Kanouté
22 R. Milosavljević
28 G. Ariyibi
9 A. Shestyuk
Coach · M. Nedic
Substitutes
23 · I. Mustapha
70 · Stefan Nikolic
19 · K. Osei
94 · D. Stanivuković
20 · A. Vidović
15 · D. Krajišnik
42 · V. Jovanović
11 · I. Ivanović
17 · Luka Borovic
14 · M. Rošević
2 · M. Mijailović
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Radnik Surdulica
4-2-3-1
99 S. Randjelovic
22 U. Lazić
6 David Stojanović
37 S. Abubakar
2 Tijan Sohna
5 M. Popović
28 A. Pejović
47 Emmanuel Quarshie
30 M. Novaković
88 Đ. Jovanović
9 V. Bogdanović
Coach · Zoran Rendulic
Substitutes
23 · Lazar Radojicic
3 · Luka Žorić
18 · F. Žunić
7 · D. Stojanović
29 · O. Shukurov
14 · Uroš Ilić
92 · A. Kosiah
25 · Teo Lakić
49 · D. Markočević
34 · Nikša Blagojević
20 · L. Jovanovic
Radnicki NIS
4-5-1
12 I. Kostić
71 D. Petrović
5 N. Zečević
3 R. Jokić
18 S. Veličković
7 I. Abass
89 Luka Izderic
6 F. Kanouté
22 R. Milosavljević
28 G. Ariyibi
9 A. Shestyuk
Coach · M. Nedic
Substitutes
23 · I. Mustapha
70 · Stefan Nikolic
19 · K. Osei
94 · D. Stanivuković
20 · A. Vidović
15 · D. Krajišnik
42 · V. Jovanović
11 · I. Ivanović
17 · Luka Borovic
14 · M. Rošević
2 · M. Mijailović
We make Radnik Surdulica a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radnik Surdulica win | 42% | 43% | −1 |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | +2 |
| Radnicki NIS win | 28% | 30% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 47% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 51% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 71% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 26% | −4 |
| Radnik Surdulica or draw | 72% | 70% | +2 |
| Radnik Surdulica clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Radnicki NIS clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 22 Aug
RADNIK SURDULICA
RADNICKI NIS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 11 | +24 | 31 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 11 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 | IMT Novi Beograd | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | Železničar Pančevo | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Mladost Lucani | 11 | −2 | 17 |
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 11 | −2 | 14 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 11 | −2 | 13 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 11 | −6 | 12 |
| 10 | FK Partizan | 10 | −1 | 11 |
| 11 | OFK Beograd | 11 | −8 | 10 |
| 12 | Macva | 11 | −11 | 9 |
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 10 | −8 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 11 | −16 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Železničar Pančevo
Radnicki 1923
Mladost Lucani
Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
FK Partizan
OFK Beograd
Macva
Zemun