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Mladost Lucani v Vojvodina

Mladost Lucani
1–1Full time
Vojvodina

Super Liga · SAT 24 OCT · Stadion Mladost

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48
Mladost Lucani 1–1 Vojvodina VOJVODINA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Vojvodina win53%
The market said58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.863
The market’s Brier score0.961

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Vojvodina win at 53%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Vojvodina 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 20–27–53
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Mladost Lucani v Vojvodina
  4. 12′A goal for Vojvodina on 11′. 0–0 · 20–29–51
  5. 14′GOAL DISALLOWED · 13' stefan stanisavljevic · Vojvodina
  6. 39′8 shots for Vojvodina, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 20–37–43
  7. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Vojvodina win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
  8. 44′We said Vojvodina at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 19–40–41
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Mladost Lucani 0–0 Vojvodina
  10. 45′SECOND HALF Mladost Lucani 0–0 Vojvodina
  11. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Filip Mladenović · Mladost Lucani
  12. 49′We said Vojvodina at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 18–42–39
  13. 50′We said Vojvodina at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 1–0 · 61–27–12
  14. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Mladost Lucani 1–0 Vojvodina
  15. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Vojvodina win: 53% at kick-off, 12% now
  16. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Mladost Lucani win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Vojvodina win 41%)
  17. 51′Mladost Lucani ahead on 50′ through Vukasin Markovic. 1–0. 1–0 · 62–27–12
  18. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Vojvodina · On: Nardin Mulahusejnović · Off: stefan stanisavljevic
  19. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Vojvodina · On: Dragan Kokanović · Off: Ifet Djakovac
  20. 57′We said Vojvodina at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 65–26–9
  21. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Mladost Lucani · On: Vasil Tašovski · Off: David Djokic
  22. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Aleksandar Varjacic · Mladost Lucani
  23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Vojvodina · On: Marko Poletanović · Off: Lazar Randjelović
  24. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Vojvodina · On: Marko Velickovic · Off: Kornel·Szucs
  25. 70′We said Vojvodina at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 74–21–4
  26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Vojvodina win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
  27. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Vojvodina · On: Aleksa Vukanović · Off: milan kolarevic
  28. 76′We said Vojvodina at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 1–1 · 10–70–20
  29. 76′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–1 · 10–70–20
  30. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Mladost Lucani 1–1 Vojvodina
  31. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Vojvodina win: 53% at kick-off, 20% now
  32. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Mladost Lucani win 80%)
  33. 78′We said Vojvodina at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 1–1 · 9–73–17
  34. 79′Dejan Zukic scores for Vojvodina on 76′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 9–75–16
  35. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Mladost Lucani · On: Petar Bojić · Off: Vukasin Markovic
  36. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Mladost Lucani · On: Nemanja Petrović · Off: Filip Mladenović
  37. 80′Vojvodina have had 15 attempts to 9 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 8–77–15
  38. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Vojvodina win: 53% at kick-off, 12% now
  39. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Mladost Lucani · On: Jovan ciric · Off: mihailo todosijevic
  40. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Mladost Lucani · On: Veljko Kijevcanin · Off: Dušan Jovančić
  41. 87′Vojvodina have had 17 attempts to 10 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 4–88–7
  42. 90′1–1 at the end. Our 53% on Vojvodina misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
  43. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Vojvodina win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
  44. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Petar Sukacev · Vojvodina
  45. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' R. Ćurčić · Mladost Lucani
  46. FTFULL TIME Mladost Lucani 1–1 Vojvodina
  47. FTMladost Lucani 1–1 Vojvodina · Vojvodina win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Vojvodina are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mladost Lucani 20%, draw 27%, Vojvodina 53%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Mladost Lucani v VojvodinaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Mladost Lucani win20%
Draw27%
Vojvodina win53%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueStadion Mladost

Line-ups

Mladost Lucani

Vojvodina

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mladost Lucani

Vojvodina

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga

Last match: 17 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Vojvodina12+1628
7Mladost Lucani12−617

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Mladost Lucani

Formation not confirmed

7 N. Andrić

1 S. Stamenković

17 A. Varjačić

22 João

37 F. Mladenović

24 V. Marković

32 B. Jovičić

33 V. Jovanović

29 D. Jovančić

36 D. Djokic

30 N. Ćirković

Coach · R. Ćurčić

Substitutes

9 · Petar Bojić

14 · T. Bondarenko

11 · O. Bondžulić

25 · J. Ćirić

44 · M. Cvetković

12 · M. Joksimović

5 · V. Kijevčanin

3 · N. Petrović

27 · Nenad Radic

99 · Ž. Samčović

88 · vasil tasovski

Vojvodina

Formation not confirmed

35 I. Đakovac

66 M. Gašić

21 M. Kolarevic

15 E. Mašović

18 N. Petrović

77 L. Ranđelović

19 S. Stanisavljević

27 P. Sukacev

26 K. Szűcs

10 D. Zukić

12 D. Rosić

Coach · Marko Savic

Substitutes

5 · Đ. Crnomarković

28 · V. Davidov

1 · M. Gočmanac

20 · D. Kokanović

32 · D. Milovanovic

7 · S. Mitrović

99 · N. Mulahusejnović

4 · M. Poletanović

8 · M. Veličković

9 · A. Vukanović

33 · Vuk Boskan

Our number · vojvodina winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:17 · locked at kick-off
53% The market58%
Us53%
Market58%

We make Vojvodina a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Mladost Lucani v Vojvodina0.90 – 1.62
Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 29 AugW2 D1 L3 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 17 v 287 v 2
The market · Vojvodina win58% · ours 53%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:10
Our probability · Vojvodina win The market, margin stripped

Published at 52%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mladost Lucani win20%18%+2
Draw27%23%+4
Vojvodina win53%58%−5
Over 2.5 goals46%56%−10
Both teams to score48%54%−6
Over 1.5 goals72%77%−5
Over 3.5 goals25%35%−10
Mladost Lucani or draw47%42%+5
Mladost Lucani clean sheet20%––
Vojvodina clean sheet41%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 9.1 12.1 10.4 5.7 2.4 1 6.4 12.5 9.2 5.0 2.1 2 3.3 5.3 4.2 2.3 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mladost Lucani down, Vojvodina across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.40
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsVOJ 5–0 MLA · MLA 0–0 VOJ · VOJ 3–1 MLA · MLA 1–3 VOJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 29 Aug

MLADOST LUCANI

LWLWDL0–2 · 1–0 · 0–5 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–5

VOJVODINA

WWWDWW5–0 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1FK Crvena Zvezda12+2834
2Vojvodina12+1628
3Železničar Pančevo12+923
4IMT Novi Beograd13+621
5Radnicki 192312+420
6Radnik Surdulica13017
7Mladost Lucani12−617
8Novi Pazar13−116
9Cukaricki12−315
10FK Partizan11−211
11OFK Beograd12−811
12Macva13−1210
13Radnicki NIS12−138
14Zemun13−186

The competition's standings before kick-off.