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Macva v OFK Beograd
Macva
OFK BeogradSuper Liga · SAT 17 OCT · Gradski Stadion Sabac
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said OFK Beograd win at 41%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: OFK Beograd 41% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 30–29–40
- 2′KICK-OFF Macva v OFK Beograd
- 6′We said OFK Beograd at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 12–18–70
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Macva 0–1 OFK Beograd
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' OFK Beograd win: 41% at kick-off, 70% now
- 7′OFK Beograd find the net on 6′. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–18–70
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' OFK Beograd win: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
- 23′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Strahinja Stojković · OFK Beograd
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 9–19–72
- 35′8 shots for Macva, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 27–37–35
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Macva 1–1 OFK Beograd
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' OFK Beograd win: 41% at kick-off, 35% now
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was OFK Beograd win 34%)
- 41′L. Pejović scores for Macva on 34′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 27–40–34
- 45′HALF-TIME Macva 1–1 OFK Beograd
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' OFK Beograd · On: J. Šljivić · Off: Tayrell·Wouter
- 45′SECOND HALF Macva 1–1 OFK Beograd
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' OFK Beograd · On: Uroš Stojanović · Off: Strahinja Stojković
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' OFK Beograd win: 41% at kick-off, 31% now
- 54′We said OFK Beograd at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 23–47–29
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Đ. Ranković · OFK Beograd
- 65′We said OFK Beograd at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 19–57–24
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Nemanja Stevanović · Macva
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Macva · On: stefan colovic · Off: mitar ergelas
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Macva · On: Vasilije Đurić · Off: Đorđe Đorđić
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' OFK Beograd win: 41% at kick-off, 21% now
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' OFK Beograd · On: Tjay De Barr · Off: Đ. Ranković
- 72′We said OFK Beograd at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 16–65–19
- 78′We said OFK Beograd at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 12–74–14
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' OFK Beograd win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Macva · On: Kristijan Tojcic · Off: Bosko Vrastanovic
- 83′We said OFK Beograd at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–83–9
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Macva · On: Nikša Delibašić · Off: Milan Vidakov
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Macva · On: V. Ilić · Off: Nikola Lainović
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Stefan Despotovski · OFK Beograd
- 90′We said OFK Beograd at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Kristijan Tojcic · Macva
- FTFULL TIME Macva 1–1 OFK Beograd
- FTMacva 1–1 OFK Beograd · OFK Beograd win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOFK Beograd are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Macva 30%, draw 29%, OFK Beograd 41%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Macva win30%
OFK Beograd win41%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 18:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueGradski Stadion Sabac
Match timeline
All events
MacvaMIN
OFK BeogradEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Macva
4-2-3-1
OFK Beograd
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Macva
OFK Beograd
Last match: 10 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga
Last match: 12 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Macva
4-2-3-1
89 V. Jovanović
17 N. Lainović
19 I. Ristivojević
15 S. Sladojević
44 N. Stevanović
34 Danilo Knežević
8 B. Vraštanović
10 M. Ergelaš
30 Đorđe Đorđić
27 L. Pejović
9 M. Vidakov
Coach · N. Glušica
Substitutes
50 · B. Matić
4 · V. Ilic
26 · U. Drezgić
99 · N. Delibasic
33 · U. Blagojević
35 · Issa Kone
12 · K. Rakonic
5 · Darko Terzić
22 · K. Tojčić
55 · S. Čolović
21 · Vasilije Đurić
OFK Beograd
4-4-2
31 Vuk Draškić
47 S. Stojković
4 A. Pavlovic
15 N. Maraš
2 S. Despotovski
19 D. Rankovic
14 M. Momčilović
6 S. Peña
7 T. Wouter
42 Y. Silue
9 Ethan Hoard
Coach · Radoslav Batak
Substitutes
17 · M. Bešić
11 · T. De Barr
26 · M. Fall
16 · L. Ivanovic
24 · U. Stojanović
97 · N. Stojišić
18 · H. Touré
91 · A. Vasilić
45 · A. Vukičević
20 · J. Šljivić
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Macva
4-2-3-1
89 V. Jovanović
17 N. Lainović
19 I. Ristivojević
15 S. Sladojević
44 N. Stevanović
34 Danilo Knežević
8 B. Vraštanović
10 M. Ergelaš
30 Đorđe Đorđić
27 L. Pejović
9 M. Vidakov
Coach · N. Glušica
Substitutes
50 · B. Matić
4 · V. Ilic
26 · U. Drezgić
99 · N. Delibasic
33 · U. Blagojević
35 · Issa Kone
12 · K. Rakonic
5 · Darko Terzić
22 · K. Tojčić
55 · S. Čolović
21 · Vasilije Đurić
OFK Beograd
4-4-2
31 Vuk Draškić
47 S. Stojković
4 A. Pavlovic
15 N. Maraš
2 S. Despotovski
19 D. Rankovic
14 M. Momčilović
6 S. Peña
7 T. Wouter
42 Y. Silue
9 Ethan Hoard
Coach · Radoslav Batak
Substitutes
17 · M. Bešić
11 · T. De Barr
26 · M. Fall
16 · L. Ivanovic
24 · U. Stojanović
97 · N. Stojišić
18 · H. Touré
91 · A. Vasilić
45 · A. Vukičević
20 · J. Šljivić
We make OFK Beograd a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macva win | 30% | 26% | +4 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | +1 |
| OFK Beograd win | 41% | 46% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 48% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 52% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 71% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 29% | −5 |
| Macva or draw | 59% | 54% | +5 |
| Macva clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| OFK Beograd clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super Liga this season · since 22 Aug
MACVA
OFK BEOGRAD
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 11 | +24 | 31 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 11 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 | IMT Novi Beograd | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | Železničar Pančevo | 10 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 10 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Radnik Surdulica | 12 | +1 | 17 |
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 11 | −2 | 17 |
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 11 | −2 | 13 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 11 | −6 | 12 |
| 10 | FK Partizan | 10 | −1 | 11 |
| 11 | OFK Beograd | 11 | −8 | 10 |
| 12 | Macva | 11 | −11 | 9 |
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 11 | −11 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 11 | −16 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Železničar Pančevo
Radnicki 1923
Radnik Surdulica
Mladost Lucani
Novi Pazar
Cukaricki
FK Partizan
Radnicki NIS
Zemun