

TSC Backa Topola v Metalac GM
TSC Backa Topola
Metalac GMPrva Liga · SAT 17 OCT · TSC Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said TSC Backa Topola win at 56%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: TSC Backa Topola was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–25–19
- 1′KICK-OFF TSC Backa Topola v Metalac GM
- 5′A goal for TSC Backa Topola on 5′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–12–7
- 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' TSC Backa Topola 1–0 Metalac GM
- 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' TSC Backa Topola win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
- 6′We published TSC Backa Topola at 56%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–12–6
- 15′Metalac GM score on 14′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 53–28–19
- 15′⚽ GOAL · 14' TSC Backa Topola 1–1 Metalac GM
- 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' TSC Backa Topola win: 56% at kick-off, 53% now
- 16′15′: O. Lukovic on the scoresheet for Metalac GM, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 53–28–19
- 24′TSC Backa Topola find the net on 23′. 2–1. 2–1 · 81–14–5
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 23' TSC Backa Topola 2–1 Metalac GM
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' TSC Backa Topola win: 56% at kick-off, 81% now
- 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 81–14–5
- 45′HALF-TIME TSC Backa Topola 2–1 Metalac GM
- 46′SECOND HALF TSC Backa Topola 2–1 Metalac GM
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Metalac GM
- 62′We published TSC Backa Topola at 56%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 57' TSC Backa Topola · On: M. Soprenic · Off: A. Petrovic
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 57' TSC Backa Topola · On: N. Nikolic · Off: B. Burmaz
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Metalac GM · On: V. Djordjevic · Off: Y. Koffi
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Metalac GM · On: D. Milinkovic · Off: P. Ntim
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' TSC Backa Topola win: 56% at kick-off, 86% now
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Metalac GM
- 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Metalac GM
- 71′A goal for TSC Backa Topola on 70′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 71′We published TSC Backa Topola at 56%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' TSC Backa Topola 3–1 Metalac GM
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' TSC Backa Topola win: 56% at kick-off, 99% now
- 72′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' TSC Backa Topola · On: A. Stancic · Off: V. Krstic
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Metalac GM · On: J. Vojnovic · Off: J. Kalicanin
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Metalac GM · On: E. Egeoluoha · Off: O. Lukovic
- 73′TSC Backa Topola score on 73′ to make it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 73′We published TSC Backa Topola at 56%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 73′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' TSC Backa Topola 4–1 Metalac GM
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Metalac GM · On: L. Puzovic · Off: S. Vukasinovic
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' TSC Backa Topola · On: S. Mladenovic · Off: M. Neskovic
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' TSC Backa Topola · On: V. Becze · Off: S. Jovanovic
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' TSC Backa Topola
- 86′TSC Backa Topola find the net on 86′. 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' TSC Backa Topola 5–1 Metalac GM
- 87′6 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME TSC Backa Topola 5–1 Metalac GM
- FTTSC Backa Topola 5–1 Metalac GM · TSC Backa Topola win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassTSC Backa Topola are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: TSC Backa Topola 56%, draw 25%, Metalac GM 19%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
TSC Backa Topola win56%
Metalac GM win19%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 14
VenueTSC Arena
Match timeline
All events
TSC Backa TopolaMIN
Metalac GMEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
TSC Backa Topola
Metalac GM
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
TSC Backa Topola
Metalac GM
Last match: 11 Oct · Prva Liga
Last match: 10 Oct · Prva Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
TSC Backa Topola
Formation not confirmed
1 N. Simic
4 V. Krstic
5 L. Stojsavljevic
7 M. Radin
8 S. Jovanovic
9 B. Burmaz
11 M. Neskovic
24 A. Stojanovic
30 A. Stojkovic
33 D. Tegeltija
80 A. Petrovic
Coach · Nenad Milijas
Substitutes
23 · N. Jorgic
73 · N. Bursac
12 · N. Nikolic
15 · S. Mladenovic
16 · A. Stancic
22 · S. Jovanovic
27 · A. Milasinovic
36 · U. Mihailovic
37 · L. Djurdjevic
55 · M. Soprenic
77 · V. Becze
Metalac GM
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Premovic
4 I. Milicevic
5 L. Milojevic
6 S. Vukasinovic
9 Y. Koffi
18 V. Topalovic
22 J. Kalicanin
23 S. Bastic
29 P. Ntim
32 B. Mijailovic
45 O. Lukovic
Coach · Srdjan Bugarski
Substitutes
12 · V. Curcic
2 · J. Vojnovic
3 · V. Djordjevic
7 · I. Kovacevic
11 · S. Veselinovic
14 · D. Starcevic
19 · A. Lazarevic
21 · L. Puzovic
24 · D. Vrbic
35 · E. Egeoluoha
99 · D. Milinkovic
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
TSC Backa Topola
Formation not confirmed
1 N. Simic
4 V. Krstic
5 L. Stojsavljevic
7 M. Radin
8 S. Jovanovic
9 B. Burmaz
11 M. Neskovic
24 A. Stojanovic
30 A. Stojkovic
33 D. Tegeltija
80 A. Petrovic
Coach · Nenad Milijas
Substitutes
23 · N. Jorgic
73 · N. Bursac
12 · N. Nikolic
15 · S. Mladenovic
16 · A. Stancic
22 · S. Jovanovic
27 · A. Milasinovic
36 · U. Mihailovic
37 · L. Djurdjevic
55 · M. Soprenic
77 · V. Becze
Metalac GM
Formation not confirmed
1 M. Premovic
4 I. Milicevic
5 L. Milojevic
6 S. Vukasinovic
9 Y. Koffi
18 V. Topalovic
22 J. Kalicanin
23 S. Bastic
29 P. Ntim
32 B. Mijailovic
45 O. Lukovic
Coach · Srdjan Bugarski
Substitutes
12 · V. Curcic
2 · J. Vojnovic
3 · V. Djordjevic
7 · I. Kovacevic
11 · S. Veselinovic
14 · D. Starcevic
19 · A. Lazarevic
21 · L. Puzovic
24 · D. Vrbic
35 · E. Egeoluoha
99 · D. Milinkovic
We make TSC Backa Topola a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are 16 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 54%, 56% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 72% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| TSC Backa Topola win | 56% | 72% | −16 |
| Draw | 25% | 19% | +6 |
| Metalac GM win | 19% | 9% | +10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 56% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 44% | +7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 77% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 36% | −7 |
| TSC Backa Topola or draw | 81% | 91% | −10 |
| TSC Backa Topola clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| Metalac GM clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Prva Liga this season · since 11 Sept
TSC BACKA TOPOLA
METALAC GM
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 13 | +7 | 28 |
| 2 | TSC Backa Topola | 13 | +14 | 27 |
| 3 | OFK Vršac | 14 | +4 | 25 |
| 4 | Javor | 13 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 | Semendrija 1924 | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 6 | Dubočica | 13 | −1 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Vozdovac | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | Metalac GM | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 | Loznica | 13 | −2 | 18 |
| 10 | Napredak | 13 | −2 | 18 |
| 11 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 13 | −6 | 15 |
| 12 | Naftagas | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 13 | Teleoptik | 14 | −7 | 13 |
| 14 | Grafičar | 13 | −7 | 11 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo Ub | 13 | −12 | 8 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 13 | −17 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Borac Cacak
OFK Vršac
Javor
Semendrija 1924
Dubočica
FK Vozdovac
Loznica
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Naftagas
Teleoptik
Grafičar
Jedinstvo Ub
OFK Bor 1919