OFK Bor 1919 v TSC Backa Topola prediction · Prva Liga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

OFK Bor 1919 1–4 TSC Backa Topola TSC BACKA TOPOLA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said TSC Backa Topola win~~46%

~~The market said~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.438

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.189

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said TSC Backa Topola win at 46%.
1′Little has changed for our model: TSC Backa Topola 46% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 27–26–47
1′KICK-OFF OFK Bor 1919 v TSC Backa Topola
2′Little has changed for our model: TSC Backa Topola 46% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 27–26–47
18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' TSC Backa Topola
22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' OFK Bor 1919
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' OFK Bor 1919 0–1 TSC Backa Topola
45′HALF-TIME OFK Bor 1919 0–0 TSC Backa Topola
46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' TSC Backa Topola · On: S. Tomovic · Off: M. Neskovic
46′SECOND HALF OFK Bor 1919 0–0 TSC Backa Topola
65′SUBSTITUTION · 61' OFK Bor 1919 · On: M. Srbijanac · Off: F. Antonijevic
65′SUBSTITUTION · 61' OFK Bor 1919 · On: P. Medic · Off: S. Denic
66′⚽ GOAL · 65' OFK Bor 1919 0–1 TSC Backa Topola
71′⚽ GOAL · 70' OFK Bor 1919 1–1 TSC Backa Topola
74′PENALTY MISSED · 74' TSC Backa Topola
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' OFK Bor 1919 1–2 TSC Backa Topola
79′SUBSTITUTION · 75' OFK Bor 1919 · On: A. Klopp · Off: E. Pavlov
79′SUBSTITUTION · 75' OFK Bor 1919 · On: N. Marinkovic · Off: D. Belic
79′⚽ GOAL · 79' OFK Bor 1919 1–3 TSC Backa Topola
82′⚽ GOAL · 79' OFK Bor 1919 1–3 TSC Backa Topola
82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' TSC Backa Topola · On: S. Mladenovic · Off: S. Jovanovic
90′SUBSTITUTION · 85' OFK Bor 1919 · On: F. Jorgovanovic · Off: D. Milicevic
90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' TSC Backa Topola · On: A. Milasinovic · Off: M. Milosavic
90′⚽ GOAL · 91' OFK Bor 1919 1–4 TSC Backa Topola
FTFULL TIME OFK Bor 1919 1–4 TSC Backa Topola
FTOFK Bor 1919 1–4 TSC Backa Topola · TSC Backa Topola win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

OFK Bor 1919 win26%

Draw28%

TSC Backa Topola win46%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Line-ups

OFK Bor 1919

TSC Backa Topola

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

OFK Bor 1919

TSC Backa Topola

8Days since last match6

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	TSC Backa Topola	12	+11	24
16	OFK Bor 1919	12	−14	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

OFK Bor 1919

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Nikolic

4 H. Redzic

6 D. Belic

9 E. Pavlov

14 S. Denic

21 D. Dubackic

23 B. Djukic

24 F. Antonijevic

55 D. Djokanovic

77 I. Matejevic

88 D. Milicevic

Coach · –

Substitutes

26 · S. Markovic

5 · S. Susic

7 · A. Klopp

8 · D. Zdravkovic

11 · I. Dragan

16 · P. Medic

19 · S. Stojanovic

22 · M. Srbijanac

30 · N. Marinkovic

81 · F. Jorgovanovic

91 · M. Madzarevic

TSC Backa Topola

Formation not confirmed

1 N. Simic

4 V. Krstic

5 L. Stojsavljevic

7 M. Radin

8 S. Jovanovic

9 B. Burmaz

11 M. Neskovic

17 M. Milosavic

30 A. Stojkovic

33 D. Tegeltija

55 M. Soprenic

Coach · Nenad Milijas

Substitutes

23 · N. Jorgic

73 · N. Bursac

12 · N. Nikolic

15 · S. Mladenovic

16 · A. Stancic

27 · A. Milasinovic

42 · S. Tomovic

80 · A. Petrovic

Our number · tsc backa topola winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

46% The market65%

Us46%

~~Market~~65%

We make TSC Backa Topola a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 19 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · tsc backa topola win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 57% to 65% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
OFK Bor 1919 win	26%	14%	+13
Draw	28%	22%	+6
TSC Backa Topola win	46%	65%	−19
Over 2.5 goals	48%	53%	−5
Both teams to score	52%	48%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	74%	75%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	27%	33%	−6
OFK Bor 1919 or draw	54%	35%	+19
OFK Bor 1919 clean sheet	23%	–	–
TSC Backa Topola clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%

0123450 8.9 10.1 8.5 4.3 1 7.0 13.0 8.9 4.6 2 4.4 6.5 4.8 2.5 3 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+OFK Bor 1919 down, TSC Backa Topola across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,582 Prva Liga matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Prva Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.1% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

OFK Bor 1919 at home: 0.80 scored, 1.40 conceded a game (last 5). TSC Backa Topola away: 2.20 scored, 1.60 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.09 goals for OFK Bor 1919, 1.52 for TSC Backa Topola. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Prva Liga

OFK BOR 1919

WLLLLL2–1 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–2

TSC BACKA TOPOLA

WWDDDW3–2 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Borac Cacak	13	+7	28
2	TSC Backa Topola	12	+11	24
3	Semendrija 1924	12	+8	24
4	Javor	12	+15	23
5	OFK Vršac	12	+5	22
6	Metalac GM	13	+1	18
7	Napredak	12	−2	17
8	Dubočica	12	−2	16
9	FK Vozdovac	12	0	15
10	Loznica	12	−3	15
11	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	12	−5	15
12	Naftagas	12	+4	13
13	Teleoptik	13	−6	13
14	Grafičar	12	−7	10
15	Jedinstvo Ub	13	−12	8
16	OFK Bor 1919	12	−14	8