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Model 1.2

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OFK Bor 1919 v Jedinstvo Ub

OFK Bor 1919
0–2Full time
Jedinstvo Ub

Prva Liga · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
OFK Bor 1919 0–2 Jedinstvo Ub JEDINSTVO UB WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Jedinstvo Ub win36%
The market said31%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.614
The market’s Brier score0.738

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 28 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Jedinstvo Ub win at 36%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Jedinstvo Ub 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 36–28–36
  3. 1′KICK-OFF OFK Bor 1919 v Jedinstvo Ub
  4. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 13' OFK Bor 1919
  5. 38′A goal for Jedinstvo Ub on 37′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 10–21–68
  6. 38′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 10–21–68
  7. 38′⚽ GOAL · 37' OFK Bor 1919 0–1 Jedinstvo Ub
  8. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Jedinstvo Ub win: 36% at kick-off, 68% now
  9. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Jedinstvo Ub win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was OFK Bor 1919 win 33%)
  10. 39′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 10–21–69
  11. 43′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
  12. 45′HALF-TIME OFK Bor 1919 0–1 Jedinstvo Ub
  13. 46′SECOND HALF OFK Bor 1919 0–1 Jedinstvo Ub
  14. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' OFK Bor 1919 · On: E. Pavlov · Off: D. Djokanovic
  15. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' OFK Bor 1919 · On: N. Marinkovic · Off: M. Madzarevic
  16. 60′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 5–20–75
  17. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Jedinstvo Ub win: 36% at kick-off, 76% now
  18. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' OFK Bor 1919 · On: P. Medic · Off: S. Denic
  19. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 62' OFK Bor 1919 · On: I. Dragan · Off: M. Srbijanac
  20. 70′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
  21. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' OFK Bor 1919
  22. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Jedinstvo Ub · On: R. Denzell · Off: D. Lisanin
  23. 77′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
  24. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Jedinstvo Ub win: 36% at kick-off, 86% now
  25. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Jedinstvo Ub · On: M. Simic · Off: N. Jokic
  26. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' OFK Bor 1919 · On: A. Klopp · Off: I. Matejevic
  27. 82′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
  28. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Jedinstvo Ub
  29. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Jedinstvo Ub
  30. 85′OFK Bor 1919 are down to ten from 85′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 0–7–93
  31. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' OFK Bor 1919
  32. 85′🟥 RED CARD · 85' OFK Bor 1919
  33. 88′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  34. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Jedinstvo Ub
  35. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Jedinstvo Ub win: 36% at kick-off, 96% now
  36. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Jedinstvo Ub · On: N. Paunovic · Off: V. Veskovic
  37. 95′Jedinstvo Ub score on 90′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  38. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Jedinstvo Ub
  39. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' OFK Bor 1919
  40. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' OFK Bor 1919 0–2 Jedinstvo Ub
  41. 96′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 36% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  42. FTFULL TIME OFK Bor 1919 0–2 Jedinstvo Ub
  43. FTOFK Bor 1919 0–2 Jedinstvo Ub · Jedinstvo Ub win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Jedinstvo Ub just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: OFK Bor 1919 36%, draw 28%, Jedinstvo Ub 36%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on OFK Bor 1919 v Jedinstvo UbBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

OFK Bor 1919 win36%
Draw28%
Jedinstvo Ub win36%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 15

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

OFK Bor 1919

Jedinstvo Ub

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Prva Liga

Last match: 17 Oct · Prva Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
15Jedinstvo Ub14−1011
16OFK Bor 191914−208

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jedinstvo ub winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
36% The market31%
Us36%
Market31%

We make Jedinstvo Ub a 36% chance to win. The market has them at 31%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · OFK Bor 1919 v Jedinstvo Ub1.35 – 1.35
Form · last six in Prva Liga this season · since 16 SeptW0 D0 L6 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 8 v 1116 v 15
The market · Jedinstvo Ub win31% · ours 36%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:22
Our probability · Jedinstvo Ub win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 31% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
OFK Bor 1919 win36%44%−8
Draw28%26%+2
Jedinstvo Ub win36%31%+5
Over 2.5 goals50%55%−5
Both teams to score55%58%−3
Over 1.5 goals76%77%−1
Over 3.5 goals29%33%−4
OFK Bor 1919 or draw64%69%−5
OFK Bor 1919 clean sheet26%––
Jedinstvo Ub clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%
0123450 8.2 8.1 6.2 2.8 1 8.0 13.1 8.1 3.7 2 6.1 8.0 5.4 2.5 3 2.8 3.6 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+OFK Bor 1919 down, Jedinstvo Ub across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Prva Liga this season · since 16 Sept

OFK BOR 1919

LLLLLL0–3 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 0–3

JEDINSTVO UB

LLLDLW0–1 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1TSC Backa Topola15+1933
2Borac Cacak14+729
3Javor14+1827
4Semendrija 192415+625
5OFK Vršac14+425
6Dubočica15−122
7Napredak14−121
8FK Vozdovac14+219
9Loznica14−219
10Metalac GM14−318
11FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV14−616
12Naftagas14+415
13Teleoptik15−813
14Grafičar14−911
15Jedinstvo Ub14−1011
16OFK Bor 191914−208

The competition's standings before kick-off.