

Napredak v Dubočica
Napredak
DubočicaPrva Liga · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Napredak win at 50%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Napredak 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–29–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Napredak v Dubočica
- 19′SUBSTITUTION · 18' Dubočica · On: N. Ela · Off: D. Ivic
- 32′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Napredak
- 36′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Dubočica
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Napredak win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Dubočica
- 45′We said Napredak at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–42–20
- 45′HALF-TIME Napredak 0–0 Dubočica
- 46′SECOND HALF Napredak 0–0 Dubočica
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Napredak win 37%)
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Dubočica · On: D. Zivkovic · Off: M. Fara
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 48' N. Ela · Dubočica
- 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Dubočica
- 54′We said Napredak at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–47–18
- 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Napredak
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 34–48–18
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Napredak win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Napredak · On: D. Miladinovic · Off: N. Stevanovic
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Napredak · On: F. Stuparevic · Off: P. Gigic
- 63′We said Napredak at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–55–16
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Dubočica · On: M. Miraljemovic · Off: L. P. Sidibe M.
- 70′We said Napredak at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–13
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Dubočica
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Napredak win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 75′We said Napredak at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–70–11
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Napredak · On: P. Bogdanovic · Off: N. Sreckovic
- 79′A goal for Napredak on 79′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 91–8–0
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Napredak 1–0 Dubočica
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Napredak win: 50% at kick-off, 91% now
- 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' Napredak win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 8%)
- 80′We said Napredak at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 1–0 · 92–8–0
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Napredak win: 50% at kick-off, 92% now
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Dubočica · On: A. Markovic · Off: F. Klaric
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Dubočica · On: M. Andjelkovic · Off: L. Stojanovic
- 84′We said Napredak at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Napredak
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Napredak · On: A. Andrejevic · Off: M. Zuvic
- FTFULL TIME Napredak 1–0 Dubočica
- FTNapredak 1–0 Dubočica · Napredak win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassNapredak are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Napredak 50%, draw 28%, Dubočica 22%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Napredak win50%
Dubočica win22%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 14
Match timeline
All events
NapredakMIN
DubočicaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Napredak
Dubočica
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Napredak
Dubočica
Last match: 11 Oct · Prva Liga
Last match: 11 Oct · Prva Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Napredak
Formation not confirmed
1 L. Balevic
4 F. Krstic
11 S. Milosevic
18 N. Stevanovic
20 N. Marinkovic
27 N. Bukumira
33 V. Bogdanovic
44 L. Miladinovic
77 N. Sreckovic
88 P. Gigic
95 M. Zuvic
Coach · Sasa Micovic
Substitutes
84 · F. Novakovic
5 · D. Danicic
6 · S. Ristic
7 · P. Bogdanovic
9 · F. Stuparevic
17 · A. Vlaisavljevic
22 · A. Andrejevic
55 · D. Miladinovic
70 · A. Novakovic
89 · L. Krstovic
99 · A. Stamenkovic
Dubočica
Formation not confirmed
32 A. Milojevic
3 F. Klaric
4 S. Santos
5 M. Stojanovic
6 L. P. Sidibe M.
9 D. Ivic
21 M. Novakovic
22 L. Stojanovic
23 A. Pavlovic
30 M. Zlatkovic
33 M. Fara
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · M. Mladenovic
2 · A. Markovic
8 · M. Miraljemovic
11 · D. Zivkovic
14 · M. Petrovic
18 · A. Umar
20 · M. Andjelkovic
25 · B. Balaz
41 · N. Ela
50 · M. Ljubenovic
91 · P. Bezarevic
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Napredak
Formation not confirmed
1 L. Balevic
4 F. Krstic
11 S. Milosevic
18 N. Stevanovic
20 N. Marinkovic
27 N. Bukumira
33 V. Bogdanovic
44 L. Miladinovic
77 N. Sreckovic
88 P. Gigic
95 M. Zuvic
Coach · Sasa Micovic
Substitutes
84 · F. Novakovic
5 · D. Danicic
6 · S. Ristic
7 · P. Bogdanovic
9 · F. Stuparevic
17 · A. Vlaisavljevic
22 · A. Andrejevic
55 · D. Miladinovic
70 · A. Novakovic
89 · L. Krstovic
99 · A. Stamenkovic
Dubočica
Formation not confirmed
32 A. Milojevic
3 F. Klaric
4 S. Santos
5 M. Stojanovic
6 L. P. Sidibe M.
9 D. Ivic
21 M. Novakovic
22 L. Stojanovic
23 A. Pavlovic
30 M. Zlatkovic
33 M. Fara
Coach · –
Substitutes
1 · M. Mladenovic
2 · A. Markovic
8 · M. Miraljemovic
11 · D. Zivkovic
14 · M. Petrovic
18 · A. Umar
20 · M. Andjelkovic
25 · B. Balaz
41 · N. Ela
50 · M. Ljubenovic
91 · P. Bezarevic
We make Napredak a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napredak win | 50% | 49% | +1 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Dubočica win | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 47% | −4 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 70% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 27% | −4 |
| Napredak or draw | 78% | 77% | +1 |
| Napredak clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
| Dubočica clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Prva Liga this season · since 11 Sept
NAPREDAK
DUBOČICA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 13 | +7 | 28 |
| 2 | TSC Backa Topola | 13 | +14 | 27 |
| 3 | OFK Vršac | 14 | +4 | 25 |
| 4 | Javor | 13 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 | Semendrija 1924 | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 6 | Dubočica | 13 | −1 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Vozdovac | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | Metalac GM | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 | Loznica | 13 | −2 | 18 |
| 10 | Napredak | 13 | −2 | 18 |
| 11 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 13 | −6 | 15 |
| 12 | Naftagas | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 13 | Teleoptik | 14 | −7 | 13 |
| 14 | Grafičar | 13 | −7 | 11 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo Ub | 13 | −12 | 8 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 13 | −17 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Borac Cacak
TSC Backa Topola
OFK Vršac
Javor
Semendrija 1924
FK Vozdovac
Metalac GM
Loznica
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Naftagas
Teleoptik
Grafičar
Jedinstvo Ub
OFK Bor 1919