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Metalac GM v Teleoptik

Metalac GM

0–3Full time

Teleoptik

Prva Liga · SAT 10 OCT · Stadion FK Metalac

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38

Metalac GM 0–3 Teleoptik METALAC GM WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Metalac GM win~~54%

~~The market said~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.009

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.806

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 38 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Metalac GM win at 54%.
2′KICK-OFF Metalac GM v Teleoptik
4′Little has changed for our model: Metalac GM 54% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–25–20
25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Metalac GM 0–1 Teleoptik
44′Teleoptik ahead on 25′ through S. Scepovic. 0–1. 0–1 · 15–28–57
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Metalac GM win: 54% at kick-off, 15% now
44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Teleoptik win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Metalac GM win 15%)
45′HALF-TIME Metalac GM 0–1 Teleoptik
48′We said Metalac GM at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–28–59
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Metalac GM · On: A. Lazarevic · Off: S. Bastic
48′SECOND HALF Metalac GM 0–1 Teleoptik
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Metalac GM win: 54% at kick-off, 13% now
52′🟨 YELLOW · 49' L. Milojevic · Metalac GM
57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Teleoptik
65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Metalac GM · On: J. Kalicanin · Off: D. Vrbic
65′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Metalac GM · On: P. Ntim · Off: Y. Koffi
69′We said Metalac GM at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 0–1 · 5–22–73
71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Teleoptik · On: D. Janackovic · Off: D. Jovanovic
72′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Teleoptik · On: L. Radosavljevic · Off: S. Djurovic
76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Metalac GM · On: D. Starcevic · Off: S. Vukasinovic
76′⚽ GOAL · 74' Metalac GM 0–2 Teleoptik
79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Teleoptik · On: D. Radovic · Off: S. Scepovic
79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Metalac GM · On: J. Vojnovic · Off: I. Kovacevic
81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Teleoptik
85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Teleoptik · On: M. Ninic · Off: I. Martinovic
87′⚽ GOAL · 25' Metalac GM 0–2 Teleoptik · S. Scepovic
87′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Metalac GM · On: A. Lazarevic · Off: S. Bastic
87′🟨 YELLOW · 49' L. Milojevic · Metalac GM
87′🟨 YELLOW · 57' D. Cvetinovic · Teleoptik
87′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Metalac GM · On: J. Kalicanin · Off: D. Vrbic
87′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Metalac GM · On: P. Ntim · Off: Y. Koffi
87′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Teleoptik · On: D. Janackovic · Off: D. Jovanovic
87′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Teleoptik · On: L. Radosavljevic · Off: S. Djurovic
87′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Metalac GM · On: D. Starcevic · Off: S. Vukasinovic
87′⚽ GOAL · 74' Metalac GM 0–2 Teleoptik · D. Janackovic
87′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Teleoptik · On: D. Radovic · Off: S. Scepovic
87′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Metalac GM · On: J. Vojnovic · Off: I. Kovacevic
87′🟨 YELLOW · 80' D. Radovic · Teleoptik
87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Teleoptik · On: M. Ninic · Off: I. Martinovic
89′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Teleoptik · On: F. Markisic · Off: N. Popovic
90′89′ and it is 0–3: M. Ninic on the scoresheet for Teleoptik. 0–3 · 0–0–100
90′⚽ GOAL · 89' Metalac GM 0–3 Teleoptik
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Metalac GM win: 54% at kick-off, 0% now
FTFULL TIME Metalac GM 0–3 Teleoptik
FTMetalac GM 0–3 Teleoptik · Metalac GM win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Metalac GM win54%

Draw26%

Teleoptik win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

Venue · Stadion FK Metalac

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Metalac GM

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Premovic

4 I. Milicevic

5 L. Milojevic

6 S. Vukasinovic

7 I. Kovacevic

8 S. Tesic

9 Y. Koffi

23 S. Bastic

24 D. Vrbic

32 B. Mijailovic

45 O. Lukovic

Coach · Srdjan Bugarski

Substitutes

12 · V. Curcic

2 · J. Vojnovic

3 · V. Djordjevic

14 · D. Starcevic

19 · A. Lazarevic

20 · O. Djuric

21 · L. Puzovic

22 · J. Kalicanin

29 · P. Ntim

35 · E. Egeoluoha

99 · D. Milinkovic

Teleoptik

Formation not confirmed

31 V. Popovic

4 V. Marinkovic

5 D. Cvetinovic

15 N. Popovic

16 A. Mohammed

18 S. Djurovic

19 F. Ivelja

21 D. Bulatovic

24 I. Martinovic

28 D. Jovanovic

40 S. Scepovic

Coach · –

Substitutes

34 · D. Milenkovic

2 · U. Stefanovic

6 · F. Markisic

7 · D. Radovic

10 · M. Ninic

11 · F. Ristic

20 · N. Virijevic

22 · D. Janackovic

26 · D. Makevic

27 · D. Vukovic

29 · L. Radosavljevic

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Metalac GM

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Premovic

4 I. Milicevic

5 L. Milojevic

6 S. Vukasinovic

7 I. Kovacevic

8 S. Tesic

9 Y. Koffi

23 S. Bastic

24 D. Vrbic

32 B. Mijailovic

45 O. Lukovic

Coach · Srdjan Bugarski

Substitutes

12 · V. Curcic

2 · J. Vojnovic

3 · V. Djordjevic

14 · D. Starcevic

19 · A. Lazarevic

20 · O. Djuric

21 · L. Puzovic

22 · J. Kalicanin

29 · P. Ntim

35 · E. Egeoluoha

99 · D. Milinkovic

Teleoptik

Formation not confirmed

31 V. Popovic

4 V. Marinkovic

5 D. Cvetinovic

15 N. Popovic

16 A. Mohammed

18 S. Djurovic

19 F. Ivelja

21 D. Bulatovic

24 I. Martinovic

28 D. Jovanovic

40 S. Scepovic

Coach · –

Substitutes

34 · D. Milenkovic

2 · U. Stefanovic

6 · F. Markisic

7 · D. Radovic

10 · M. Ninic

11 · F. Ristic

20 · N. Virijevic

22 · D. Janackovic

26 · D. Makevic

27 · D. Vukovic

29 · L. Radosavljevic

Our number · metalac gm winPublished 10 Oct 13:12

54% The market45%

Us54%

~~Market~~45%

We make Metalac GM a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · metalac gm win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Metalac GM win	54%	45%	+9
Draw	26%	28%	−1
Teleoptik win	20%	27%	−8
Over 2.5 goals	47%	46%	+1
Both teams to score	49%	51%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	73%	70%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	26%	26%	0
Metalac GM or draw	80%	73%	+8
Metalac GM clean sheet	41%	–	–
Teleoptik clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 9.1 5.9 3.2 1 11.6 12.3 5.1 2 10.5 9.3 4.2 3 5.9 5.2 2.4 4 2.5 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Metalac GM down, Teleoptik across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,580 Prva Liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Prva Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.2% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Metalac GM at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Teleoptik away: 1.33 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Metalac GM, 0.91 for Teleoptik. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Prva Liga

METALAC GM

DWWWWD0–0 · 5–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–0

TELEOPTIK

DDLLLW1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–4 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Borac Cacak	12	+5	25
2	TSC Backa Topola	12	+11	24
3	Semendrija 1924	12	+8	24
4	Javor	12	+15	23
5	OFK Vršac	12	+5	22
6	Metalac GM	12	+4	18
7	Napredak	12	−2	17
8	Dubočica	12	−2	16
9	FK Vozdovac	12	0	15
10	Loznica	12	−3	15
11	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	12	−5	15
12	Naftagas	12	+4	13
13	Grafičar	12	−7	10
14	Teleoptik	12	−9	10
15	Jedinstvo Ub	12	−10	8
16	OFK Bor 1919	12	−14	8