

Jedinstvo Ub v Grafičar
Jedinstvo Ub
GrafičarPrva Liga · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Jedinstvo Ub win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Jedinstvo Ub was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–27–31
- 1′KICK-OFF Jedinstvo Ub v Grafičar
- 15′SUBSTITUTION · 14' Grafičar · On: L. Nikolic · Off: D. Anokic
- 15′SUBSTITUTION · 14' Jedinstvo Ub · On: N. Paunovic · Off: M. Terzic
- 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Jedinstvo Ub
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Grafičar
- 40′Jedinstvo Ub find the net on 39′. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–20–9
- 40′We published Jedinstvo Ub at 42%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–20–9
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Jedinstvo Ub 1–0 Grafičar
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Jedinstvo Ub win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
- 41′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 72–20–8
- 41′Jedinstvo Ub ahead on 40′ through N. Paunovic. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–20–8
- 45′HALF-TIME Jedinstvo Ub 1–0 Grafičar
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Jedinstvo Ub
- 47′PENALTY MISSED · 45+2' Grafičar
- 47′SECOND HALF Jedinstvo Ub 1–0 Grafičar
- 54′We published Jedinstvo Ub at 42%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Grafičar · On: L. Bijelovic · Off: M. Zivanovic
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Grafičar · On: B. Papovic · Off: I. Lakicevic
- 67′A goal for Grafičar on 67′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 25–55–20
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Jedinstvo Ub 1–1 Grafičar
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Jedinstvo Ub win: 42% at kick-off, 25% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Jedinstvo Ub win 25%)
- 68′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–56–20
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Jedinstvo Ub · On: M. Simic · Off: D. Lisanin
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Jedinstvo Ub win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 75′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–66–16
- 80′We said Jedinstvo Ub at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–12
- 81′Jedinstvo Ub score on 81′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Jedinstvo Ub 2–1 Grafičar
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Jedinstvo Ub win: 42% at kick-off, 89% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Jedinstvo Ub win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 10%)
- 82′We published Jedinstvo Ub at 42%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 82′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Grafičar · On: V. Subotic · Off: J. Tucker
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Jedinstvo Ub win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
- 86′Jedinstvo Ub find the net on 85′. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 86′We published Jedinstvo Ub at 42%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 86′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Jedinstvo Ub 3–1 Grafičar
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Jedinstvo Ub · On: S. Fall · Off: N. Paunovic
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Jedinstvo Ub · On: A. Zivojinovic · Off: E. Okain
- 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Jedinstvo Ub
- FTFULL TIME Jedinstvo Ub 3–1 Grafičar
- FTJedinstvo Ub 3–1 Grafičar · Jedinstvo Ub win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassJedinstvo Ub are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Jedinstvo Ub 42%, draw 27%, Grafičar 31%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Jedinstvo Ub win42%
Grafičar win31%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 14
Match timeline
All events
Jedinstvo UbMIN
GrafičarEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Jedinstvo Ub
Grafičar
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Jedinstvo Ub
Grafičar
Last match: 10 Oct · Prva Liga
Last match: 11 Oct · Prva Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Jedinstvo Ub
Formation not confirmed
1 I. Jovanovic
4 D. Nesic
5 L. Djurdjevic
6 D. Bilbija
7 M. Vranjes
11 D. Lisanin
17 E. Okain
23 N. Jokic
36 M. Terzic
39 M. Miljkovic
55 V. Veskovic
Coach · Uros Matic
Substitutes
81 · F. Novkovic
3 · D. Todoric
9 · N. Paunovic
14 · M. Kesikj
20 · A. Zivojinovic
22 · N. Grujic
26 · D. Acimovic
40 · I. Kpare
49 · M. Budjevac
54 · M. Simic
77 · S. Fall
Grafičar
Formation not confirmed
92 V. Vojvodic
4 S. Hajdin
5 P. Golubovic
9 N. Furtula
13 F. Vasiljevic
15 D. Lazic
23 U. Djordjevic
33 I. Lakicevic
77 D. Anokic
78 J. Tucker
80 M. Zivanovic
Coach · Milan Stegnjaic
Substitutes
22 · N. Curuvija
3 · B. Maric
6 · V. Subotic
7 · L. Bijelovic
8 · L. Nikolic
19 · B. Papovic
27 · V. Roganovic
44 · M. Popovic
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Jedinstvo Ub
Formation not confirmed
1 I. Jovanovic
4 D. Nesic
5 L. Djurdjevic
6 D. Bilbija
7 M. Vranjes
11 D. Lisanin
17 E. Okain
23 N. Jokic
36 M. Terzic
39 M. Miljkovic
55 V. Veskovic
Coach · Uros Matic
Substitutes
81 · F. Novkovic
3 · D. Todoric
9 · N. Paunovic
14 · M. Kesikj
20 · A. Zivojinovic
22 · N. Grujic
26 · D. Acimovic
40 · I. Kpare
49 · M. Budjevac
54 · M. Simic
77 · S. Fall
Grafičar
Formation not confirmed
92 V. Vojvodic
4 S. Hajdin
5 P. Golubovic
9 N. Furtula
13 F. Vasiljevic
15 D. Lazic
23 U. Djordjevic
33 I. Lakicevic
77 D. Anokic
78 J. Tucker
80 M. Zivanovic
Coach · Milan Stegnjaic
Substitutes
22 · N. Curuvija
3 · B. Maric
6 · V. Subotic
7 · L. Bijelovic
8 · L. Nikolic
19 · B. Papovic
27 · V. Roganovic
44 · M. Popovic
We make Jedinstvo Ub a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jedinstvo Ub win | 42% | 36% | +6 |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | −2 |
| Grafičar win | 31% | 36% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 46% | +8 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 52% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 70% | +9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 26% | +6 |
| Jedinstvo Ub or draw | 69% | 64% | +5 |
| Jedinstvo Ub clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Grafičar clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Prva Liga this season · since 12 Sept
JEDINSTVO UB
GRAFIČAR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 13 | +7 | 28 |
| 2 | TSC Backa Topola | 13 | +14 | 27 |
| 3 | OFK Vršac | 14 | +4 | 25 |
| 4 | Javor | 13 | +15 | 24 |
| 5 | Semendrija 1924 | 13 | +7 | 24 |
| 6 | Dubočica | 13 | −1 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Vozdovac | 13 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | Metalac GM | 13 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 | Loznica | 13 | −2 | 18 |
| 10 | Napredak | 13 | −2 | 18 |
| 11 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV | 13 | −6 | 15 |
| 12 | Naftagas | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 13 | Teleoptik | 14 | −7 | 13 |
| 14 | Grafičar | 13 | −7 | 11 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo Ub | 13 | −12 | 8 |
| 16 | OFK Bor 1919 | 13 | −17 | 8 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Borac Cacak
TSC Backa Topola
OFK Vršac
Javor
Semendrija 1924
Dubočica
FK Vozdovac
Metalac GM
Loznica
Napredak
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
Naftagas
Teleoptik
OFK Bor 1919