Javor v OFK Bor 1919 prediction · Prva Liga

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Javor 3–0 OFK Bor 1919 JAVOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Javor win~~74%

~~The market said~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.107

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.115

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 22 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Javor win at 74%.
1′Much as we predicted: Javor was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 74% now. 0–0 · 74–18–9
1′KICK-OFF Javor v OFK Bor 1919
10′Much as we predicted: Javor was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 71% now. 0–0 · 71–20–9
29′We published Javor at 74%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–8–2
29′Javor find the net on 28′. 1–0. 1–0 · 90–8–2
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Javor 1–0 OFK Bor 1919
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Javor win: 74% at kick-off, 90% now
30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 90–8–2
33′Javor ahead on 29′ through A. Radonjic. 1–0. 1–0 · 90–8–2
33′SUBSTITUTION · 28' OFK Bor 1919 · On: S. Susic · Off: B. Varga
41′We published Javor at 74%. Our model now makes it 89%. 1–0 · 89–9–2
45′HALF-TIME Javor 1–0 OFK Bor 1919
46′SECOND HALF Javor 1–0 OFK Bor 1919
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Javor 2–0 OFK Bor 1919
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Javor win: 74% at kick-off, 99% now
52′A goal for Javor on 51′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
52′We published Javor at 74%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
58′Javor score on 57′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Javor 3–0 OFK Bor 1919
59′Javor score on 57′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
59′We published Javor at 74%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
61′58′: L. Micic on the scoresheet for Javor, making it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' OFK Bor 1919 · On: A. Klopp · Off: E. Pavlov
61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' OFK Bor 1919 · On: M. Madzarevic · Off: S. Denic
76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' OFK Bor 1919
77′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Javor · On: E. Ocansey · Off: B. Acquah
77′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Javor · On: N. Djokic · Off: M. Maricic
77′SUBSTITUTION · 70' OFK Bor 1919 · On: S. Stojanovic · Off: D. Djokanovic
82′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Javor · On: M. Nikolic · Off: M. Mirosavljev
82′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Javor · On: S. Mitrovic · Off: M. Bjekovic
83′SUBSTITUTION · 60' OFK Bor 1919 · On: I. Dragan · Off: S. Susic
86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Javor
87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Javor · On: M. Nenadovic · Off: A. Radonjic
90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Javor
FTFULL TIME Javor 3–0 OFK Bor 1919
FTJavor 3–0 OFK Bor 1919 · Javor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Javor are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Javor 74%, draw 18%, OFK Bor 1919 8%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Javor v OFK Bor 1919Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Javor win74%

Draw18%

OFK Bor 1919 win8%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 14

VenueStadion Kraj Moravice

Line-ups

Javor

OFK Bor 1919

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Javor

OFK Bor 1919

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Prva Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Javor	13	+15	24
16	OFK Bor 1919	13	−17	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Javor

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Stevanovic

2 B. Cande

4 N. Todosijevic

7 A. Radonjic

10 M. Maricic

11 L. Micic

13 M. Bjekovic

17 B. Acquah

26 M. Mirosavljev

30 M. Kolakovic

31 L. Konstantinov

Coach · Branko Mirjacic

Substitutes

12 · O. Lukic

5 · N. Djokic

8 · N. Ferro

9 · M. Nikolic

14 · K. Saliman

15 · D. Ristic

18 · M. Nenadovic

21 · Z. Basaric

22 · S. Mitrovic

28 · E. Ocansey

33 · B. Antwi

OFK Bor 1919

Formation not confirmed

1 B. Nikolic

4 H. Redzic

6 D. Belic

9 E. Pavlov

14 S. Denic

21 D. Dubackic

22 M. Srbijanac

33 B. Varga

55 D. Djokanovic

77 I. Matejevic

88 D. Milicevic

Coach · –

Substitutes

26 · S. Markovic

3 · J. Pejcic

5 · S. Susic

7 · A. Klopp

11 · I. Dragan

15 · D. Marinkovic

19 · S. Stojanovic

30 · N. Marinkovic

81 · F. Jorgovanovic

91 · M. Madzarevic

Our number · javor winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off

74% The market73%

Us74%

~~Market~~73%

We make Javor a 74% chance to win. The market has them at 73%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.4–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Javor v OFK Bor 1919~~2.39 – 0.69

~~Form · last six in Prva Liga this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D4 L0 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 24 v 8~~4 v 16

~~The market · Javor win~~73% · ours 74%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Javor win The market, margin stripped

Published at 72%, 74% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 73% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Javor win	74%	73%	+1
Draw	18%	17%	+1
OFK Bor 1919 win	8%	10%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	59%	61%	−2
Both teams to score	45%	47%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	81%	81%	0
Over 3.5 goals	37%	42%	−5
Javor or draw	92%	90%	+2
Javor clean sheet	51%	–	–
OFK Bor 1919 clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 13.0%

0123450 5.7 2.6 1 10.5 8.3 2.6 2 13.0 8.7 3.0 3 10.2 6.9 2.4 4 6.2 4.1 5 3.1 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Javor down, OFK Bor 1919 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,589 Prva Liga matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Prva Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.3% of games this season, across 105 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Javor at home: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). OFK Bor 1919 away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.39 goals for Javor, 0.69 for OFK Bor 1919. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Prva Liga this season · since 12 Sept

JAVOR

DDWDWD1–1 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 1–1

OFK BOR 1919

LLLLLL0–1 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Borac Cacak	13	+7	28
2	TSC Backa Topola	13	+14	27
3	OFK Vršac	14	+4	25
4	Javor	13	+15	24
5	Semendrija 1924	13	+7	24
6	Dubočica	13	−1	19
7	FK Vozdovac	13	+2	18
8	Metalac GM	13	+1	18
9	Loznica	13	−2	18
10	Napredak	13	−2	18
11	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	13	−6	15
12	Naftagas	13	+4	14
13	Teleoptik	14	−7	13
14	Grafičar	13	−7	11
15	Jedinstvo Ub	13	−12	8
16	OFK Bor 1919	13	−17	8