Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Prva Liga › FK Vozdovac v Loznica

Back
Serbia flag

FK Vozdovac v Loznica

FK Vozdovac
1–1Full time
Loznica

Prva Liga · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04
FK Vozdovac 1–1 Loznica FK VOZDOVAC WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said FK Vozdovac win50%
The market said49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.773
The market’s Brier score0.788

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FK Vozdovac win at 50%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FK Vozdovac 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–31–19
  3. 1′KICK-OFF FK Vozdovac v Loznica
  4. 25′FK Vozdovac score on 25′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 81–14–4
  5. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' FK Vozdovac 1–0 Loznica
  6. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' FK Vozdovac win: 50% at kick-off, 81% now
  7. 26′We said FK Vozdovac at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–14–4
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 81–15–4
  9. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Loznica
  10. 45′HALF-TIME FK Vozdovac 1–0 Loznica
  11. 46′SECOND HALF FK Vozdovac 1–0 Loznica
  12. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Loznica · On: A. Hamadu · Off: D. Pantic
  13. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Loznica · On: M. Zivkovic · Off: M. Ilic
  14. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Loznica · On: P. Cirkovic · Off: L. Pecelj
  15. 52′PENALTY MISSED · 52' FK Vozdovac
  16. 54′Loznica find the net on 54′. 1–1. 1–1 · 33–51–16
  17. 54′We said FK Vozdovac at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–51–16
  18. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' FK Vozdovac 1–1 Loznica
  19. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' FK Vozdovac win: 50% at kick-off, 33% now
  20. 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was FK Vozdovac win 33%)
  21. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' FK Vozdovac win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
  22. 61′We said FK Vozdovac at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–14
  23. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Loznica
  24. 68′We said FK Vozdovac at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–64–12
  25. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' FK Vozdovac · On: J. Zimmerman · Off: Q. Tavares
  26. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' FK Vozdovac · On: O. Dimitric · Off: A. Madi
  27. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' FK Vozdovac win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
  28. 74′We said FK Vozdovac at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–10
  29. 79′We said FK Vozdovac at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–7
  30. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FK Vozdovac · On: J. Rasljanin · Off: O. Ajdar
  31. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Loznica · On: L. Malis · Off: S. Carapic
  32. 83′We said FK Vozdovac at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
  33. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' FK Vozdovac win: 50% at kick-off, 9% now
  34. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Loznica · On: L. Nikolic · Off: M. Jelenic
  35. 90′We said FK Vozdovac at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–2
  36. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 87' FK Vozdovac · On: V. Mladenovic · Off: S. Raskovic
  37. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 87' FK Vozdovac · On: M. Adam · Off: M. Jovic
  38. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' FK Vozdovac
  39. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' FK Vozdovac
  40. FTFULL TIME FK Vozdovac 1–1 Loznica
  41. FTFK Vozdovac 1–1 Loznica · FK Vozdovac win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FK Vozdovac are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FK Vozdovac 50%, draw 30%, Loznica 19%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on FK Vozdovac v LoznicaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

FK Vozdovac win50%
Draw30%
Loznica win19%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 14

Line-ups

FK Vozdovac

Loznica

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FK Vozdovac

Loznica

7Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Prva Liga

Last match: 12 Oct · Prva Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8FK Vozdovac13+218
9Loznica13−218

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

FK Vozdovac

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Debeljakovic

6 Y. Horike

7 M. Jovic

8 V. Braunovic

11 O. Ajdar

20 V. Prodanic

26 D. Popovic

29 Q. Tavares

30 S. Raskovic

31 L. Nedovic

33 A. Madi

Coach · Dejan Brankovic

Substitutes

12 · L. Tasic

3 · P. Mihajlovic

9 · O. Dimitric

19 · M. Adam

21 · J. Rasljanin

22 · L. Milosev

23 · V. Nedeljkovic

24 · S. Golubovic

27 · M. Butrakovic

37 · J. Zimmerman

39 · V. Mladenovic

Loznica

Formation not confirmed

32 N. Lakic

2 M. Ilic

14 D. Pantic

15 A. Katanic

17 S. Trajkovski

20 L. Pecelj

22 S. Carapic

24 M. Jelenic

28 A. Vidic

42 N. Krstic

77 S. Purtic

Coach · Dejan Nikolic

Substitutes

1 · D. Pavlicic

4 · L. Vasic

6 · N. Ahcin

7 · L. Malis

8 · L. Nikolic

11 · P. Cirkovic

19 · F. Matic

21 · M. Bakic

27 · M. Zivkovic

30 · M. Jezdimirovic

89 · A. Hamadu

Our number · fk vozdovac winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
50% The market49%
Us50%
Market49%

We make FK Vozdovac a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · FK Vozdovac v Loznica1.35 – 0.73
Form · last six in Prva Liga this season · since 12 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 18 v 188 v 9
The market · FK Vozdovac win49% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 12 OCT 04:0418 OCT 12:48
Our probability · FK Vozdovac win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FK Vozdovac win50%49%+1
Draw30%29%+1
Loznica win19%22%−3
Over 2.5 goals35%40%−5
Both teams to score39%45%−6
Over 1.5 goals63%65%−2
Over 3.5 goals16%22%−6
FK Vozdovac or draw81%78%+3
FK Vozdovac clean sheet48%––
Loznica clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.6%
0123450 13.8 8.0 3.4 1 15.6 13.3 4.5 2 11.2 8.1 3.0 3 5.1 3.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+FK Vozdovac down, Loznica across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsFKV 0–2 LOZ · FKV 1–1 LOZ · LOZ 1–1 FKV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Prva Liga this season · since 12 Sept

FK VOZDOVAC

DWWDLW1–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 2–0

LOZNICA

LDWWLW0–4 · 2–2 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 0–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1TSC Backa Topola14+1830
2Borac Cacak13+728
3Javor14+1827
4Semendrija 192414+725
5OFK Vršac14+425
6Napredak14−121
7Dubočica14−219
8FK Vozdovac13+218
9Loznica13−218
10Metalac GM14−318
11Naftagas14+415
12FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV13−615
13Teleoptik14−713
14Grafičar14−911
15Jedinstvo Ub14−1011
16OFK Bor 191914−208

The competition's standings before kick-off.