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Borac Cacak v Jedinstvo Ub

Borac Cacak

3–1Full time

Jedinstvo Ub

Prva Liga · SAT 10 OCT · Gradski stadion

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Borac Cacak 3–1 Jedinstvo Ub BORAC CACAK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Borac Cacak win~~55%

~~The market said~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.305

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.188

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Borac Cacak win at 55%.
15′Little has changed for our model: Borac Cacak 55% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–26–21
37′Borac Cacak ahead on 27′ through M. Spasojevic. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
37′⚽ GOAL · 26' Borac Cacak 2–0 Jedinstvo Ub
37′⚽ GOAL · 27' Borac Cacak 2–0 Jedinstvo Ub
37′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Jedinstvo Ub
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Borac Cacak win: 55% at kick-off, 95% now
45′HALF-TIME Borac Cacak 2–0 Jedinstvo Ub
48′SECOND HALF Borac Cacak 2–0 Jedinstvo Ub
52′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jedinstvo Ub · On: M. Terzic · Off: M. Simic
52′⚽ GOAL · 50' Borac Cacak 2–1 Jedinstvo Ub
74′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Jedinstvo Ub · On: M. Vranjes · Off: D. Lisanin
78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Borac Cacak · On: V. Ilic · Off: M. Spasojevic
78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Borac Cacak · On: U. Kilibarda · Off: I. Yusuf
81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Jedinstvo Ub
82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Jedinstvo Ub
88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Jedinstvo Ub
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Borac Cacak 3–1 Jedinstvo Ub
FTFULL TIME Borac Cacak 3–1 Jedinstvo Ub
FTBorac Cacak 3–1 Jedinstvo Ub · Borac Cacak win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Borac Cacak win55%

Draw25%

Jedinstvo Ub win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

Venue · Gradski stadion

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Borac Cacak

Formation not confirmed

91 N. Petric

3 M. Kolarevic

4 A. Desancic

6 I. Yusuf

8 L. Majstorovic

10 M. Jevtovic

11 S. Djuric

15 N. Nikic

19 P. Popadic

20 M. Spasojevic

29 M. Vidovic

Coach · Nemanja Krtolica

Substitutes

75 · J. Barac

2 · L. Jankovic

5 · V. Zivadinovic

7 · B. Tomic

9 · U. Kilibarda

12 · Leandro Pinto

14 · P. Milutinovic

21 · V. Ilic

22 · O. Alempijevic

24 · I. Dembele

28 · N. Tomovic

Jedinstvo Ub

Formation not confirmed

41 J. Ribic

4 D. Nesic

5 L. Djurdjevic

6 D. Bilbija

11 D. Lisanin

23 N. Jokic

26 D. Acimovic

31 R. Denzell

39 M. Miljkovic

54 M. Simic

55 V. Veskovic

Coach · Uros Matic

Substitutes

1 · I. Jovanovic

3 · D. Todoric

7 · M. Vranjes

9 · N. Paunovic

14 · M. Kesikj

22 · N. Grujic

36 · M. Terzic

40 · I. Kpare

49 · M. Budjevac

77 · S. Fall

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Borac Cacak

Formation not confirmed

91 N. Petric

3 M. Kolarevic

4 A. Desancic

6 I. Yusuf

8 L. Majstorovic

10 M. Jevtovic

11 S. Djuric

15 N. Nikic

19 P. Popadic

20 M. Spasojevic

29 M. Vidovic

Coach · Nemanja Krtolica

Substitutes

75 · J. Barac

2 · L. Jankovic

5 · V. Zivadinovic

7 · B. Tomic

9 · U. Kilibarda

12 · Leandro Pinto

14 · P. Milutinovic

21 · V. Ilic

22 · O. Alempijevic

24 · I. Dembele

28 · N. Tomovic

Jedinstvo Ub

Formation not confirmed

41 J. Ribic

4 D. Nesic

5 L. Djurdjevic

6 D. Bilbija

11 D. Lisanin

23 N. Jokic

26 D. Acimovic

31 R. Denzell

39 M. Miljkovic

54 M. Simic

55 V. Veskovic

Coach · Uros Matic

Substitutes

1 · I. Jovanovic

3 · D. Todoric

7 · M. Vranjes

9 · N. Paunovic

14 · M. Kesikj

22 · N. Grujic

36 · M. Terzic

40 · I. Kpare

49 · M. Budjevac

77 · S. Fall

Our number · borac cacak winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

55% The market65%

Us55%

~~Market~~65%

We make Borac Cacak a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · borac cacak win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Borac Cacak win	55%	65%	−10
Draw	25%	22%	+3
Jedinstvo Ub win	20%	13%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	54%	49%	+5
Both teams to score	54%	41%	+13
Over 1.5 goals	78%	73%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	32%	27%	+5
Borac Cacak or draw	80%	87%	−7
Borac Cacak clean sheet	36%	–	–
Jedinstvo Ub clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 7.1 5.0 3.1 1 9.6 11.7 5.5 2 9.6 9.6 4.9 3 5.8 5.9 3.0 4 2.7 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Borac Cacak down, Jedinstvo Ub across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,580 Prva Liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Prva Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.2% of games this season, across 96 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Borac Cacak at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Jedinstvo Ub away: 0.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.83 goals for Borac Cacak, 1.02 for Jedinstvo Ub. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BOR 1–0 JED · JED 3–4 BOR

Form · last six in Prva Liga

BORAC CACAK

WWLWDL2–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–3

JEDINSTVO UB

LWLLLD1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 0–3 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Borac Cacak	12	+5	25
2	TSC Backa Topola	12	+11	24
3	Semendrija 1924	12	+8	24
4	Javor	12	+15	23
5	OFK Vršac	12	+5	22
6	Metalac GM	12	+4	18
7	Napredak	12	−2	17
8	Dubočica	12	−2	16
9	FK Vozdovac	12	0	15
10	Loznica	12	−3	15
11	FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV	12	−5	15
12	Naftagas	12	+4	13
13	Grafičar	12	−7	10
14	Teleoptik	12	−9	10
15	Jedinstvo Ub	12	−10	8
16	OFK Bor 1919	12	−14	8