Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Macva v Napredak

Back
Serbia flag

Macva v Napredak

Macva
16:30Upcoming
Napredak

Cup · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MacvaDrawNapredak
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Macva 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Macva are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Macva 45%, draw 32%, Napredak 23%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Macva v NapredakBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Macva win45%
Draw32%
Napredak win23%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 16:30

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Macva

Napredak

4Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · Prva Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · macva winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Macva a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Macva v Napredak1.16 – 0.75

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:06
Our probability · Macva win

Published at 46%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Macva win45%––
Draw32%––
Napredak win23%––
Over 2.5 goals30%––
Both teams to score37%––
Over 1.5 goals57%––
Over 3.5 goals13%––
Macva or draw77%––
Macva clean sheet47%––
Napredak clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.8%
0123450 15.3 10.7 4.2 1 16.8 13.3 4.8 2 10.0 7.5 2.8 3 3.9 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Macva down, Napredak across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

MACVA

No matches in our record yet.

NAPREDAK

No matches in our record yet.