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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Cup › Loznica v Cukaricki

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Loznica v Cukaricki

Loznica
15:30Upcoming
Cukaricki

Cup · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

LoznicaDrawCukaricki
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Cukaricki 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cukaricki are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Loznica 22%, draw 28%, Cukaricki 49%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Loznica v CukarickiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Loznica win22%
Draw28%
Cukaricki win49%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 15:30

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Loznica

Cukaricki

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Prva Liga

Last match: 24 Oct · the Serbian Super Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cukaricki winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Cukaricki a 49% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Loznica v Cukaricki0.84 – 1.38

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Cukaricki win

Published at 48%, 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Loznica win22%––
Draw28%––
Cukaricki win49%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score43%––
Over 1.5 goals66%––
Over 3.5 goals19%––
Loznica or draw51%––
Loznica clean sheet25%––
Cukaricki clean sheet43%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.6%
0123450 11.2 14.6 10.4 4.8 1 8.7 13.0 8.7 4.0 2 3.8 5.3 3.6 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Loznica down, Cukaricki across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsLOZ 1–0 CUK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season

LOZNICA

No matches in our record yet.

CUKARICKI

No matches in our record yet.