

Wally Daan v Stade de Mbour
Wally Daan
Stade de MbourLigue 1 · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 41%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: the draw was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 37–41–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Wally Daan v Stade de Mbour
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Draw: 41% at kick-off, 51% now
- 41′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 53%. 0–0 · 29–53–18
- 45′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 55%. 0–0 · 27–55–18
- 45′HALF-TIME Wally Daan 0–0 Stade de Mbour
- 46′SECOND HALF Wally Daan 0–0 Stade de Mbour
- 53′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 60%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Draw: 41% at kick-off, 61% now
- 60′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 65%. 0–0 · 21–65–14
- 66′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–0 · 18–70–12
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Draw: 41% at kick-off, 71% now
- 71′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–0 · 15–75–10
- 76′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–0 · 12–80–8
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Draw: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
- 80′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
- 85′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 91%. 0–0 · 5–91–4
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Draw: 41% at kick-off, 91% now
- 90′We published the draw at 41%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–0 · 3–95–2
- FTFULL TIME Wally Daan 0–0 Stade de Mbour
- FTWally Daan 0–0 Stade de Mbour · Draw: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Under 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassA draw is the likeliest result.
The Pitchside prediction: Wally Daan 37%, draw 41%, Stade de Mbour 22%. Over 2.5 goals 20%, both teams to score 29%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Wally Daan win37%
Stade de Mbour win22%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 18:00
RoundMatchday 1
Match timeline
All events
Wally DaanMIN
Stade de MbourEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Wally Daan
Stade de Mbour
Last match: 4 June · Ligue 1 (Senegal)
Last match: 4 June · Ligue 1 (Senegal)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make the draw a 41% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.6, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 25%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wally Daan win | 37% | – | – |
| Draw | 41% | – | – |
| Stade de Mbour win | 22% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 29% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 47% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 7% | – | – |
| Wally Daan or draw | 78% | – | – |
| Wally Daan clean sheet | 54% | – | – |
| Stade de Mbour clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Ligue 1 this season
WALLY DAAN
No matches in our record yet.
STADE DE MBOUR
No matches in our record yet.
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Linguère | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Jaraaf | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ouakam | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Casa Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Stade de Mbour | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Gorée | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Diambars | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | HLM | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Génération Foot | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Pikine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Guédiawaye | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | DSC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Teungueth | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | AJEL | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Wally Daan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Essamaye | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
La Linguère
Jaraaf
Ouakam
Casa Sport
Gorée
Diambars
HLM
Génération Foot
Pikine
Guédiawaye
DSC
Teungueth
AJEL
Essamaye