Teungueth v Ouakam prediction · Ligue 1

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · postponed

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Teungueth 35%, draw 44%, Ouakam 21%. Over 2.5 goals 15%, both teams to score 25%.

The AI’s read on Teungueth v OuakamBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

Teungueth win35%

Draw44%

Ouakam win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 1

VenueStade Ngalandou Diouf

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Teungueth

Ouakam

34Days since last match135

Last match: 13 Sept · CAF Champions League

Last match: 4 June · Ligue 1 (Senegal)

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Ouakam	0	0	0
13	Teungueth	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

44% The market–

Us44%

We make the draw a 44% chance. The model expects 0.8–0.5, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 30%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Teungueth v Ouakam~~0.78 – 0.54

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~13 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Teungueth win	35%	–	–
Draw	44%	–	–
Ouakam win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	15%	–	–
Both teams to score	25%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	40%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	5%	–	–
Teungueth or draw	79%	–	–
Teungueth clean sheet	59%	–	–
Ouakam clean sheet	46%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 29.5%

0123450 29.5 12.1 3.9 1 18.3 13.2 3.0 2 8.1 4.3 3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Teungueth down, Ouakam across0–5 goals a side shown (100.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,025 Ligue 1 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 22.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Teungueth at home: 1.00 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Ouakam away: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.78 goals for Teungueth, 0.54 for Ouakam. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~OUA 0–0 TEU · TEU 0–0 OUA · TEU 2–0 OUA · OUA 1–0 TEU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season

TEUNGUETH

No matches in our record yet.

OUAKAM

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	La Linguère	0	0	0
2	Jaraaf	0	0	0
3	Ouakam	0	0	0
4	Casa Sport	0	0	0
5	Stade de Mbour	0	0	0
6	Gorée	0	0	0
7	Diambars	0	0	0
8	HLM	0	0	0
9	Génération Foot	0	0	0
10	Pikine	0	0	0
11	Guédiawaye	0	0	0
12	DSC	0	0	0
13	Teungueth	0	0	0
14	AJEL	0	0	0
15	Wally Daan	0	0	0
16	Essamaye	0	0	0