Stade de Mbour v Guédiawaye
Stade de MbourGuédiawayeLigue 1 · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
A draw is the likeliest result.
The Pitchside prediction: Stade de Mbour 33%, draw 39%, Guédiawaye 28%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 37%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off
Stade de Mbour win33%Guédiawaye win28%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:30
RoundMatchday 2
Match timeline
All events
Stade de MbourMINGuédiawayeEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Stade de Mbour
Guédiawaye
Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 1 (Senegal)
Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 1 (Senegal)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guédiawaye | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stade de Mbour | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make the draw a 39% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stade de Mbour win | 33% | – | – |
| Draw | 39% | – | – |
| Guédiawaye win | 28% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 37% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | – | – |
| Stade de Mbour or draw | 72% | – | – |
| Stade de Mbour clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Guédiawaye clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 17 Oct
STADE DE MBOUR
GUÉDIAWAYE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Génération Foot | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Gorée | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Guédiawaye | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Diambars | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Casa Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 |  HLM | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Jaraaf | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  AJEL | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Stade de Mbour | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Wally Daan | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Ouakam | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Teungueth | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  DSC | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 14 |  Essamaye | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 15 |  La Linguère | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 16 |  Pikine | 1 | −3 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.