Guédiawaye v DSC

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Guédiawaye win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Guédiawaye was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–33–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Guédiawaye v DSC
4. 10′We said Guédiawaye at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
5. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Guédiawaye 0–1 DSC
6. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' Guédiawaye win: 42% at kick-off, 19% now
7. 10′THE CALL SWINGS · 10' DSC win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Guédiawaye win 19%)
8. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Guédiawaye 1–1 DSC
9. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Guédiawaye win: 42% at kick-off, 39% now
10. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was DSC win 23%)
11. 45′HALF-TIME Guédiawaye 1–1 DSC
12. 46′SECOND HALF Guédiawaye 1–1 DSC
13. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Guédiawaye win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
14. 50′GOAL DISALLOWED · 50' Guédiawaye
15. 50′GOAL DISALLOWED · 50' DSC
16. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Guédiawaye 1–1 DSC
17. 55′We said Guédiawaye at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–50–20
18. 57′We said Guédiawaye at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–52–19
19. 57′GOAL DISALLOWED · 57' Guédiawaye
20. 57′GOAL DISALLOWED · 57' DSC
21. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Guédiawaye 1–1 DSC
22. 63′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 26–57–18
23. 67′We said Guédiawaye at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–61–16
24. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Guédiawaye win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
25. 74′We published Guédiawaye at 42%. Our model now makes it 87%. 2–1 · 87–12–1
26. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Guédiawaye 2–1 DSC
27. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Guédiawaye win: 42% at kick-off, 87% now
28. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Guédiawaye win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 12%)
29. 75′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 88–11–1
30. 78′We published Guédiawaye at 42%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
31. 79′We said Guédiawaye at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–10 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
32. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Guédiawaye win: 42% at kick-off, 92% now
33. 85′We published Guédiawaye at 42%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
34. FTFULL TIME Guédiawaye 2–1 DSC
35. FTGuédiawaye 2–1 DSC · Guédiawaye win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.