Gorée v La Linguère prediction · Ligue 1

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 20:34

Gorée 2–0 La Linguère GORÉE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gorée win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.451

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gorée are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gorée 46%, draw 37%, La Linguère 16%. Over 2.5 goals 24%, both teams to score 31%.

The AI’s read on Gorée v La LinguèreBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Gorée win46%

Draw37%

La Linguère win16%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 1

VenueStade Demba Diop

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gorée

La Linguère

135Days since last match135

Last match: 4 June · Ligue 1 (Senegal)

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gorée winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Gorée a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.6, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 21%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gorée v La Linguère~~1.13 – 0.57

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~6 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gorée win	46%	–	–
Draw	37%	–	–
La Linguère win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	24%	–	–
Both teams to score	31%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	53%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	10%	–	–
Gorée or draw	84%	–	–
Gorée clean sheet	57%	–	–
La Linguère clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 21.2%

0123450 21.2 8.1 3.1 1 17.9 13.8 3.3 2 11.4 6.4 3 4.4 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gorée down, La Linguère across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,025 Ligue 1 matches up to 4 Jun 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 22.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 0.70 goals a meeting; 0 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gorée at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). La Linguère away: 0.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Gorée, 0.57 for La Linguère. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~0.70

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 10

~~Both scored~~0 of 10

~~Last meetings~~GOR 0–0 LAL · LAL 0–2 GOR · GOR 0–1 LAL · LAL 0–0 GOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season

GORÉE

No matches in our record yet.

LA LINGUÈRE

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	La Linguère	0	0	0
2	Jaraaf	0	0	0
3	Ouakam	0	0	0
4	Casa Sport	0	0	0
5	Stade de Mbour	0	0	0
6	Gorée	0	0	0
7	Diambars	0	0	0
8	HLM	0	0	0
9	Génération Foot	0	0	0
10	Pikine	0	0	0
11	Guédiawaye	0	0	0
12	DSC	0	0	0
13	Teungueth	0	0	0
14	AJEL	0	0	0
15	Wally Daan	0	0	0
16	Essamaye	0	0	0