Génération Foot v Pikine

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Génération Foot win at 42%.
2. 5′We said Génération Foot at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–14–6
3. 5′KICK-OFF Génération Foot v Pikine
4. 6′GOAL DISALLOWED · 6' Génération Foot
5. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' Génération Foot win: 42% at kick-off, 42% now
6. 9′Little has changed for our model: Génération Foot 42% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–39–20
7. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Génération Foot 1–0 Pikine
8. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Génération Foot win: 42% at kick-off, 80% now
9. 32′The goal count is tracking the 1.7 we expected. 1–0 · 81–15–4
10. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Génération Foot win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
11. 45′HALF-TIME Génération Foot 1–0 Pikine
12. 46′SECOND HALF Génération Foot 1–0 Pikine
13. 50′We said Génération Foot at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–54–16 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
14. 53′We said Génération Foot at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
15. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Génération Foot 2–0 Pikine
16. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Génération Foot win: 42% at kick-off, 98% now
17. 65′We said Génération Foot at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–0 · 22–66–12 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
18. 75′We said Génération Foot at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
19. 76′We said Génération Foot at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
20. 76′GOAL DISALLOWED · 76' Génération Foot
21. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Génération Foot win: 42% at kick-off, 14% now
22. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Génération Foot win 14%)
23. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Génération Foot 2–0 Pikine
24. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Génération Foot win: 42% at kick-off, over 99% now
25. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Génération Foot win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw under 1%)
26. 82′We said Génération Foot at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
27. 83′GOAL DISALLOWED · 83' Génération Foot
28. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Génération Foot win: 42% at kick-off, 8% now
29. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Génération Foot win 8%)
30. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Génération Foot 2–0 Pikine
31. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Génération Foot win: 42% at kick-off, over 99% now
32. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Génération Foot win is now our likeliest result at over 99% (was Draw under 1%)
33. 90′We said Génération Foot at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–95–2
34. 92′3 goals already, more than the 1.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
35. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Génération Foot 3–0 Pikine
36. 96′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+6' Génération Foot
37. 96′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+6' Génération Foot win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
38. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Draw is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Génération Foot win 1%)
39. FTFULL TIME Génération Foot 3–0 Pikine
40. FTGénération Foot 3–0 Pikine · Génération Foot win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.