AJEL v Génération Foot prediction · Ligue 1

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 20:17

AJEL 0–0 Génération Foot DRAW · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said a draw~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.588

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 37%.
1′Little has changed for our model: the draw 37% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 30–38–33
1′KICK-OFF AJEL v Génération Foot
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Draw: 37% at kick-off, 47% now
43′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 49%. 0–0 · 25–49–27
45′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 50%. 0–0 · 24–50–26
45′HALF-TIME AJEL 0–0 Génération Foot
46′SECOND HALF AJEL 0–0 Génération Foot
54′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 55%. 0–0 · 22–55–23
57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Draw: 37% at kick-off, 57% now
61′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 60%. 0–0 · 19–60–20
66′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 0–0 · 17–65–18
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Draw: 37% at kick-off, 67% now
71′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–0 · 14–70–15
75′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–0 · 12–75–13
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Draw: 37% at kick-off, 78% now
79′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 0–0 · 9–81–10
82′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–0 · 7–85–8
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Draw: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
87′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 0–0 · 4–91–5
91′We said the draw at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–0 · 2–95–3
93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Draw: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
FTFULL TIME AJEL 0–0 Génération Foot
FTAJEL 0–0 Génération Foot · Draw: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: AJEL 30%, draw 37%, Génération Foot 33%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on AJEL v Génération FootBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

AJEL win30%

Draw37%

Génération Foot win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AJEL

Génération Foot

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Ligue 1 (Senegal)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make the draw a 37% chance. The model expects 0.9–1.0, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · AJEL v Génération Foot~~0.92 – 0.97

~~Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 17 Oct~~W0 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 1 v 3~~8 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AJEL win	30%	–	–
Draw	37%	–	–
Génération Foot win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	29%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	59%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
AJEL or draw	67%	–	–
AJEL clean sheet	39%	–	–
Génération Foot clean sheet	41%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.5%

0123450 18.5 11.8 7.0 2.4 1 11.2 15.7 6.3 2.1 2 6.4 6.0 2.9 3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AJEL down, Génération Foot across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,032 Ligue 1 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 23.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

AJEL at home: 0.83 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Génération Foot away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.92 goals for AJEL, 0.97 for Génération Foot. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~GEN 0–1 AJE · AJE 2–0 GEN · AJE 1–1 GEN · GEN 1–0 AJE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Ligue 1 this season · since 17 Oct

AJEL

D1–1

GÉNÉRATION FOOT

W3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Génération Foot	1	+3	3
2	Gorée	1	+2	3
3	Guédiawaye	1	+1	3
4	Diambars	1	+1	3
5	Casa Sport	1	0	1
6	HLM	1	0	1
7	Jaraaf	1	0	1
8	AJEL	1	0	1
9	Stade de Mbour	1	0	1
10	Wally Daan	1	0	1
11	Ouakam	0	0	0
12	Teungueth	0	0	0
13	DSC	1	−1	0
14	Essamaye	1	−1	0
15	La Linguère	1	−2	0
16	Pikine	1	−3	0