Hibernian v Falkirk

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hibernian win at 54%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Hibernian 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–24–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF Hibernian v Falkirk
4. 7′🟨 YELLOW · 6' Owen Elding · Hibernian
5. 8′Little has changed for our model: Hibernian 54% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
6. 15′13′: Jacob Murrell on the scoresheet for Falkirk, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 26–25–49
7. 15′⚽ GOAL · 13' Hibernian 0–1 Falkirk · Jacob Murrell
8. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Hibernian win: 54% at kick-off, 26% now
9. 15′THE CALL SWINGS · 15' Falkirk win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Hibernian win 26%)
10. 16′We said Hibernian at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 0–1 · 25–25–49
11. 19′We said Hibernian at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–26–50
12. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Hibernian win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
13. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Ben krauhaus · Falkirk
14. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 21–26–53
15. 33′We said Hibernian at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–54
16. 38′37′: Jacob Murrell on the scoresheet for Falkirk. 0–1 · 18–27–56
17. 38′⚽ GOAL · 37' Hibernian 0–2 Falkirk · Jacob Murrell
18. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Hibernian win: 54% at kick-off, 5% now
19. 39′We said Hibernian at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–12–83
20. 41′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 16–27–57
21. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk
22. 43′Owen Elding scores for Hibernian on 41′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 16–27–57
23. 45′HALF-TIME Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk
24. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Falkirk · On: Leon McCann · Off: Scott Tanser
25. 45′SECOND HALF Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk
26. 46′We said Hibernian at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–27–59
27. 56′12 shots for Hibernian, 7 the other way, and they still trail 1–2. 1–2 · 10–26–64
28. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Hibernian · On: Rabbi Matondo · Off: Thibault Klidjé
29. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Hibernian · On: Jamie McGrath · Off: Azeem Abdulai
30. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Ryan Strain · Falkirk
31. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Falkirk · On: Deniss Meļņiks · Off: Ben krauhaus
32. 71′We said Hibernian at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–74
33. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Hibernian win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
34. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hibernian · On: Ante Suto · Off: A. Major
35. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Hibernian · On: Nicky Cadden · Off: Miguel Changa Chaiwa
36. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Falkirk · On: Calvin Fodrey · Off: Ethan Ross
37. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Finley Frank Barbrook · Falkirk
38. 83′16 shots for Hibernian, 9 the other way, and they still trail 1–2. 1–2 · 1–11–88
39. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Falkirk · On: Finn Yeats · Off: Finley Frank Barbrook
40. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Falkirk · On: Jack McMillan · Off: Owen Eames
41. FTFULL TIME Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk
42. FTHibernian 1–2 Falkirk · Hibernian win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.