Home › Football › Premiership › Dundee v Rangers
Back

Dundee v Rangers
Dundee
RangersPremiership · SAT 17 OCT · Dens Park
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Rangers win at 60%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Rangers was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 20–21–59
- 1′KICK-OFF Dundee v Rangers
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Dujon Sterling · Rangers
- 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Rangers win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
- 37′We said Rangers at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–0 · 50–27–23
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Dundee 1–0 Rangers
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Rangers win: 60% at kick-off, 23% now
- 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Dundee win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Rangers win 23%)
- 39′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 51–27–22
- 40′Bradley·Fink scores for Dundee on 37′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 51–27–21
- 42′We said Rangers at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 1–1 · 20–32–48
- 42′7 shots for Dundee, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 20–32–48
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Dundee 1–1 Rangers
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Rangers win: 60% at kick-off, 48% now
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Rangers win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Dundee win 20%)
- 43′42′: Badredine Bouanani on the scoresheet for Rangers, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 20–33–48
- 45′HALF-TIME Dundee 1–1 Rangers
- 46′SECOND HALF Dundee 1–1 Rangers
- 50′We said Rangers at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 19–37–44
- 87′Callum Jones scores for Dundee on 69′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 5–86–9
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 60' Dundee 2–2 Rangers · Nicolas Raskin (assist Dan Neil)
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Dundee · On: Alfie Harrison · Off: Joseph Bevan
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Ethan Hamilton · Dundee
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 69' Dundee 2–2 Rangers · Callum Jones
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Rangers · On: Findlay Curtis · Off: Badredine Bouanani
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Rangers · On: Kevin Kelsy · Off: Min-su Kim
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Dujon Sterling · Rangers
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Ashley Hay · Dundee
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Nicolas Raskin · Rangers
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Rangers win: 60% at kick-off, 9% now
- 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Rangers win 9%)
- 89′We said Rangers at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 7%. 2–2 · 4–89–7
- 90′17 shots for Rangers, 9 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 3–90–6
- 90′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 3–90–6
- 90′Full time, 2–2. We called Rangers at 60% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- 92′We said Rangers at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 2–93–4
- 93′Rangers have had 20 attempts to 9 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 2–95–3
- FTFULL TIME Dundee 2–2 Rangers
- FTDundee 2–2 Rangers · Rangers win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassRangers are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Dundee 20%, draw 21%, Rangers 60%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Dundee win20%
Rangers win60%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 20:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueDens Park
Match timeline
All events
DundeeMIN
RangersEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Dundee
4-4-2
Rangers
4-1-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dundee
Rangers
Last match: 10 Oct · the Scottish Premiership
Last match: 10 Oct · the Scottish Premiership
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Dundee
4-4-2
1 O. Goodman
7 D. Wright
4 R. Astley
5 O. Bevan
12 I. Samuels
27 J. Bevan
28 C. Jones
48 E. Hamilton
14 A. Forrest
11 A. Hay
21 B. Fink
Coach · Steven Pressley
Substitutes
13 · K. O'Hara
26 · J. Wright
6 · M. Akinmboni
2 · B. Halliday
3 · I. Odutayo
17 · Z. Besir
8 · R. Finnigan
77 · A. Harrison
18 · C. Reilly
Rangers
4-1-4-1
1 I. Pandur
21 D. Sterling
37 E. Fernandez
24 O. Makhanya
29 J. Penrice
43 N. Raskin
26 B. Bouanani
10 M. Kim
6 D. Neil
23 D. Gassama
20 R. Naderi
Coach · Derek McInnes
Substitutes
31 · L. Kelly
4 · B. Godfrey
25 · T. Rommens
18 · K. Nedeljkovic
22 · V. Dragojevic
42 · T. Chukwuani
52 · F. Curtis
19 · K. Kelsy
28 · B. Miovski
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Dundee
4-4-2
1 O. Goodman
7 D. Wright
4 R. Astley
5 O. Bevan
12 I. Samuels
27 J. Bevan
28 C. Jones
48 E. Hamilton
14 A. Forrest
11 A. Hay
21 B. Fink
Coach · Steven Pressley
Substitutes
13 · K. O'Hara
26 · J. Wright
6 · M. Akinmboni
2 · B. Halliday
3 · I. Odutayo
17 · Z. Besir
8 · R. Finnigan
77 · A. Harrison
18 · C. Reilly
Rangers
4-1-4-1
1 I. Pandur
21 D. Sterling
37 E. Fernandez
24 O. Makhanya
29 J. Penrice
43 N. Raskin
26 B. Bouanani
10 M. Kim
6 D. Neil
23 D. Gassama
20 R. Naderi
Coach · Derek McInnes
Substitutes
31 · L. Kelly
4 · B. Godfrey
25 · T. Rommens
18 · K. Nedeljkovic
22 · V. Dragojevic
42 · T. Chukwuani
52 · F. Curtis
19 · K. Kelsy
28 · B. Miovski
We make Rangers a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 68%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 59%, 60% now. The market has gone from 71% to 68% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee win | 20% | 13% | +7 |
| Draw | 21% | 19% | +2 |
| Rangers win | 60% | 68% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 59% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 52% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 80% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 38% | +1 |
| Dundee or draw | 40% | 32% | +8 |
| Dundee clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Rangers clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Premiership this season · since 22 Aug
DUNDEE
RANGERS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 8 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Rangers | 8 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | ST Johnstone | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 9 | −1 | 12 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 9 | −8 | 10 |
| 9 | Falkirk | 9 | −3 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | −5 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | −10 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | −5 | 7 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
ST Johnstone
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
Falkirk
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Hibernian