Stranraer v Clyde prediction · League Two

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

StranraerDrawClyde

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Stranraer 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stranraer are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stranraer 41%, draw 26%, Clyde 33%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Stranraer v ClydeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Stranraer win41%

Draw26%

Clyde win33%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueStair Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stranraer

Clyde

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

Last match: 17 Oct · the Scottish League Two

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Penicuik v Clyde in Scottish Cup postponedBBC Sport · 23 Oct 13:22 · Clyde

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stranraer winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

41% The market40%

Us41%

~~Market~~40%

We make Stranraer a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stranraer v Clyde~~1.49 – 1.31

~~Form · last six in League Two this season · since 5 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 23 v 23~~1 v 2

~~The market · Stranraer win~~40% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Stranraer win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stranraer win	41%	40%	+1
Draw	26%	25%	+1
Clyde win	33%	35%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	53%	62%	−9
Both teams to score	57%	64%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	77%	81%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	31%	42%	−11
Stranraer or draw	67%	65%	+2
Stranraer clean sheet	27%	–	–
Clyde clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 6.8 7.4 5.2 2.3 1 8.5 12.4 7.7 3.4 2 6.7 8.7 5.7 2.5 3 3.4 4.3 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stranraer down, Clyde across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 965 League Two matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: League Two matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.6% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Stranraer at home: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Clyde away: 1.33 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.49 goals for Stranraer, 1.31 for Clyde. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CLY 3–1 STR · STR 3–1 CLY · CLY 2–1 STR · CLY 0–0 STR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in League Two this season · since 5 Sept

STRANRAER

WWWDWW3–0 · 3–1 · 5–1 · 0–0 · 6–1 · 2–0

CLYDE

WWDLWW3–2 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 2–6 · 2–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Stranraer	11	+16	23
2	Clyde	11	+9	23
3	Elgin City	11	+10	18
4	Spartans	11	+2	15
5	Kelty Hearts	11	−5	15
6	Dumbarton	11	−6	13
7	Stirling Albion	11	−10	12
8	Edinburgh City	11	+2	11
9	Forfar Athletic	11	−8	11
10	Annan Athletic	11	−10	9