Home › Football › League Two › Elgin City v Edinburgh City
Back

Elgin City v Edinburgh City
Elgin City
Edinburgh CityLeague Two · SAT 17 OCT · Borough Briggs
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Elgin City win at 51%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Elgin City 51% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–23–27
- 1′KICK-OFF Elgin City v Edinburgh City
- 7′Little has changed for our model: Elgin City 51% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–24–27
- 33′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Elgin City
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Edinburgh City
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Elgin City win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Elgin City 0–0 Edinburgh City
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Elgin City win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Draw 34%)
- 45′SECOND HALF Elgin City 0–0 Edinburgh City
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Edinburgh City · On: E. Glasgow · Off: L. Gardiner
- 50′We said Elgin City at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–37–24
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Edinburgh City
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 37–40–23
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Elgin City win 36%)
- 60′We said Elgin City at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–43–22
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Elgin City win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Elgin City · On: O. Colloty · Off: L. Scullion
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Elgin City · On: O. Cairns · Off: D. McHardy
- 68′We said Elgin City at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
- 74′We said Elgin City at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
- 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Elgin City
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Elgin City win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
- 79′We said Elgin City at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 18–69–13
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Edinburgh City · On: K. Foster · Off: J. Leitch
- 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Elgin City
- 82′We said Elgin City at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Elgin City win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Edinburgh City · On: C. Bunker · Off: J. Jarvis
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Elgin City · On: L. Mackay · Off: R. Dingwall
- 87′We said Elgin City at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
- 90′0–0 at the end. Our 51% on Elgin City misses, and the record keeps it. 0–0 · 0–100–0
- 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Elgin City · On: K. Willox · Off: M. Grant
- FTFULL TIME Elgin City 0–0 Edinburgh City
- FTElgin City 0–0 Edinburgh City · Elgin City win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassElgin City are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Elgin City 51%, draw 23%, Edinburgh City 27%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Elgin City win51%
Edinburgh City win27%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 11
VenueBorough Briggs
Match timeline
All events
Elgin CityMIN
Edinburgh CityEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Elgin City
Edinburgh City
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Elgin City
Edinburgh City
Last match: 13 Oct · the Scottish Challenge Cup
Last match: 13 Oct · the Scottish Challenge Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Elgin City
Formation not confirmed
1 T. Ritchie
5 K. Girvan
2 M. Neill
6 J. Murray
23 M. Grant
10 M. Gallagher
77 L. Scullion
40 D. McHardy
7 R. Dingwall
9 K. Hester
22 J. MacIver
Coach · –
Substitutes
27 · J. Morrison
11 · O. Colloty
12 · O. Cairns
15 · L. Jamieson
17 · K. Willox
18 · A. Cummings
19 · J. Camara
24 · L. Mackay
28 · C. Mckay
Edinburgh City
Formation not confirmed
22 S. Dowie
5 L. Gardiner
23 J. McGregor
21 F. Rowe
2 C. McGinn
10 J. Jarvis
11 I. Lawson
6 J. Leitch
18 M. Aiken
7 L. Walker
20 T. North
Coach · Michael McIndoe
Substitutes
1 · M. Weir
4 · C. Pitt
17 · C. Bunker
24 · K. Foster
25 · E. Glasgow
27 · C. Law
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Elgin City
Formation not confirmed
1 T. Ritchie
5 K. Girvan
2 M. Neill
6 J. Murray
23 M. Grant
10 M. Gallagher
77 L. Scullion
40 D. McHardy
7 R. Dingwall
9 K. Hester
22 J. MacIver
Coach · –
Substitutes
27 · J. Morrison
11 · O. Colloty
12 · O. Cairns
15 · L. Jamieson
17 · K. Willox
18 · A. Cummings
19 · J. Camara
24 · L. Mackay
28 · C. Mckay
Edinburgh City
Formation not confirmed
22 S. Dowie
5 L. Gardiner
23 J. McGregor
21 F. Rowe
2 C. McGinn
10 J. Jarvis
11 I. Lawson
6 J. Leitch
18 M. Aiken
7 L. Walker
20 T. North
Coach · Michael McIndoe
Substitutes
1 · M. Weir
4 · C. Pitt
17 · C. Bunker
24 · K. Foster
25 · E. Glasgow
27 · C. Law
We make Elgin City a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elgin City win | 51% | 47% | +4 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Edinburgh City win | 27% | 28% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 61% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 80% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 40% | +3 |
| Elgin City or draw | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Elgin City clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Edinburgh City clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in League Two this season · since 28 Aug
ELGIN CITY
EDINBURGH CITY
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 10 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 | Clyde | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 10 | +10 | 17 |
| 4 | Spartans | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 10 | −6 | 12 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 10 | −6 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 10 | −7 | 11 |
| 8 | Stirling Albion | 10 | −10 | 11 |
| 9 | Edinburgh City | 10 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Annan Athletic | 10 | −7 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Stranraer
Clyde
Spartans
Kelty Hearts
Dumbarton
Forfar Athletic
Stirling Albion
Annan Athletic