Dumbarton v Stirling Albion

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dumbarton win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Dumbarton was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–24–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Dumbarton v Stirling Albion
4. 6′Much as we predicted: Dumbarton was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–25–29
5. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Stirling Albion
6. 45′HALF-TIME Dumbarton 0–0 Stirling Albion
7. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Dumbarton win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
8. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Dumbarton
9. 46′SECOND HALF Dumbarton 0–0 Stirling Albion
10. 52′We said Dumbarton at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–40–25
11. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Dumbarton win 35%)
12. 54′We said Dumbarton at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–41–24
13. 55′We expected about 3.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–42–24
14. 56′We expected about 3.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–43–24
15. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Stirling Albion · On: L. Fyfe · Off: J. Mullin
16. 64′We said Dumbarton at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
17. 65′Stirling Albion find the net on 65′. 0–0 · 29–51–21
18. 66′We said Dumbarton at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–1 · 6–22–72
19. 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Dumbarton 0–1 Stirling Albion
20. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Dumbarton win: 47% at kick-off, 6% now
21. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Stirling Albion win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 22%)
22. 70′We said Dumbarton at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
23. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Stirling Albion
24. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Dumbarton · On: D. Lang · Off: T. Lang
25. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Dumbarton · On: K. Webster · Off: A. Spalding
26. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Dumbarton · On: R. Cleary · Off: F. Turley
27. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Stirling Albion
28. 79′A goal for Dumbarton on 79′. 0–1 · 2–15–83
29. 80′We said Dumbarton at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 1–1 · 15–73–11
30. 80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Dumbarton 1–1 Stirling Albion
31. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Dumbarton win: 47% at kick-off, 15% now
32. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Stirling Albion win 11%)
33. 81′We said Dumbarton at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
34. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Dumbarton · On: S. Honeyman · Off: J. Todd
35. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Dumbarton win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
36. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Stirling Albion · On: J. Allan · Off: Z. Cameron
37. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Dumbarton
38. FTFULL TIME Dumbarton 1–1 Stirling Albion
39. FTDumbarton 1–1 Stirling Albion · Dumbarton win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.