Clyde v Annan Athletic prediction · League Two

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10

Clyde 4–1 Annan Athletic CLYDE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Clyde win~~55%

~~The market said~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.303

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.257

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Clyde win at 55%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Clyde 55% before kick-off, 55% now. 0–0 · 55–23–22
1′KICK-OFF Clyde v Annan Athletic
6′Little has changed for our model: Clyde 55% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–23–23
8′We said Clyde at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–14–9
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Clyde 1–0 Annan Athletic
8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Clyde win: 55% at kick-off, 77% now
9′Clyde find the net on 9′. 1–0. 1–0 · 77–14–9
19′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Clyde
21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Clyde
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 1–0 · 78–15–7
41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Annan Athletic
45′HALF-TIME Clyde 1–0 Annan Athletic
45′SECOND HALF Clyde 1–0 Annan Athletic
53′We said Clyde at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
53′We said Clyde at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Clyde 2–0 Annan Athletic
53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Clyde win: 55% at kick-off, 96% now
54′A goal for Clyde on 54′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Clyde 2–1 Annan Athletic
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Clyde win: 55% at kick-off, 81% now
63′Annan Athletic score on 63′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 82–15–3
64′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 97–3–0
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Clyde 3–1 Annan Athletic
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Clyde win: 55% at kick-off, 97% now
64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Clyde · On: C. Howie · Off: B. Cuddihy
65′Clyde find the net on 64′. 3–1. 3–1 · 97–2–0
67′Clyde ahead on 65′ through S. Williamson. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Annan Athletic · On: W. Gibson · Off: J. Dixon
71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Clyde · On: J. Anderson · Off: T. Scott
71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Annan Athletic · On: S. Buchanan · Off: D. Carrick
80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Annan Athletic
82′We said Clyde at 55% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
82′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Clyde · On: J. Forrest · Off: K. Connell
82′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Clyde · On: D. Hynes · Off: J. Bradley
82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Annan Athletic · On: Trialist · Off: D. Iserhienrhien
87′A goal for Clyde on 86′. 3–1 · 100–0–0
87′5 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Clyde 4–1 Annan Athletic
90′S. Williamson scores for Clyde on 87′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Clyde 4–1 Annan Athletic
FTClyde 4–1 Annan Athletic · Clyde win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Clyde are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Clyde 55%, draw 22%, Annan Athletic 22%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Clyde v Annan AthleticBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Clyde win55%

Draw22%

Annan Athletic win22%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueNew Douglas Park

Line-ups

Clyde

Annan Athletic

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Clyde

Annan Athletic

4Days since last match4

Last match: 13 Oct · the Scottish Challenge Cup

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Clyde	10	+6	20
10	Annan Athletic	10	−7	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Clyde

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Hogarth

18 L. Rooney

22 K. Fleming

15 L. Dunachie

3 L. Lovering

8 B. Cuddihy

14 J. Bradley

19 T. Scott

11 K. Connell

10 J. Hilton

9 S. Williamson

Coach · –

Substitutes

21 · D. Terry

2 · D. Hynes

5 · C. Howie

25 · C. Inglis

6 · B. Strachan

24 · J. Forrest

20 · B. Kiltie

26 · J. Anderson

Annan Athletic

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Albinson

20 D. Carrick

6 K. Watson

15 M. Niang

3 C. Clark

7 J. Dixon

8 P. Smith

21 D. Iserhienrhien

19 C. Maxwell

10 T. Muir

9 A. Smith

Coach · Wullie Gibson

Substitutes

5 · Trialist

11 · D. Williams

14 · C. Williams

16 · S. Buchanan

17 · C. O'Donnell

18 · A. Roy

33 · W. Gibson

Our number · clyde winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

55% The market59%

Us55%

~~Market~~59%

We make Clyde a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Clyde v Annan Athletic~~1.97 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in League Two this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 20 v 9~~2 v 10

~~The market · Clyde win~~59% · ours 55%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Clyde win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Clyde win	55%	59%	−4
Draw	22%	22%	0
Annan Athletic win	22%	19%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	61%	61%	0
Both teams to score	60%	59%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	82%	81%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	39%	40%	−1
Clyde or draw	78%	81%	−3
Clyde clean sheet	31%	–	–
Annan Athletic clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%

0123450 4.8 4.7 3.0 1 8.1 10.3 5.9 2.3 2 8.2 9.6 5.7 2.3 3 5.4 6.3 3.7 4 2.7 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Clyde down, Annan Athletic across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 960 League Two matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: League Two matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.67 goals a meeting; 7 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Clyde at home: 3.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Annan Athletic away: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.97 goals for Clyde, 1.19 for Annan Athletic. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.67

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 9

~~Both scored~~7 of 9

~~Last meetings~~ANN 1–2 CLY · CLY 4–1 ANN · CLY 3–1 ANN · ANN 1–1 CLY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in League Two this season · since 29 Aug

CLYDE

DWWDLW3–3 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 2–6 · 2–1

ANNAN ATHLETIC

WLWLLL2–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–6

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Stranraer	10	+14	20
2	Clyde	10	+6	20
3	Elgin City	10	+10	17
4	Spartans	10	+4	15
5	Kelty Hearts	10	−6	12
6	Dumbarton	10	−6	12
7	Forfar Athletic	10	−7	11
8	Stirling Albion	10	−10	11
9	Edinburgh City	10	+2	10
10	Annan Athletic	10	−7	9