East Kilbride v Ross County prediction · League One

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

East KilbrideDrawRoss County

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ross County 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ross County are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: East Kilbride 19%, draw 20%, Ross County 61%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on East Kilbride v Ross CountyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

East Kilbride win19%

Draw20%

Ross County win61%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueK-Park Training Academy

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

East Kilbride

Ross County

14Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · the Scottish League One

Last match: 24 Oct · the Scottish League One

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ross county winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Ross County a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.4, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · East Kilbride v Ross County~~1.30 – 2.43

~~Form · last six in League One this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 18 v 31~~4 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
East Kilbride win	19%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Ross County win	61%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
East Kilbride or draw	39%	–	–
East Kilbride clean sheet	10%	–	–
Ross County clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.9%

0123450 3.4 5.4 7.1 5.6 3.5 1 2.6 8.3 8.9 7.1 4.3 2.22 2.2 4.9 5.7 4.6 2.8 3 2.2 2.5 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+East Kilbride down, Ross County across0–5 goals a side shown (95.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 988 League One matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: League One matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.3% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

East Kilbride at home: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Ross County away: 3.33 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for East Kilbride, 2.43 for Ross County. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ROS 4–0 EAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in League One this season · since 5 Sept

EAST KILBRIDE

LWWWDD0–1 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 2–2 · 1–1

ROSS COUNTY

WWWWWW8–0 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 5–0 · 7–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ross County	11	+36	31
2	Hamilton Academical	11	+21	31
3	Montrose	12	−3	19
4	East Kilbride	11	+5	18
5	Airdrie United	12	−9	13
6	Queen of the South	12	−21	13
7	Alloa Athletic	12	−2	12
8	Peterhead	12	−11	10
9	East Fife	12	−7	9
10	Cove Rangers	11	−9	6