East Kilbride v Montrose

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said East Kilbride win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: East Kilbride was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–22–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF East Kilbride v Montrose
4. 7′Much as we predicted: East Kilbride was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–23–21
5. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' East Kilbride win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
6. 45′We said East Kilbride at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–33–21
7. 45′HALF-TIME East Kilbride 0–0 Montrose
8. 45′SECOND HALF East Kilbride 0–0 Montrose
9. 51′We said East Kilbride at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–36–20
10. 55′We expected about 3.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 42–39–20
11. 56′We said East Kilbride at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
12. 56′Montrose find the net on 56′. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–27–59
13. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' East Kilbride
14. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' East Kilbride 0–1 Montrose
15. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' East Kilbride win: 58% at kick-off, 14% now
16. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Montrose win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was East Kilbride win 14%)
17. 66′We said East Kilbride at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
18. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' East Kilbride win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
19. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Montrose
20. 71′We said East Kilbride at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–55–15
21. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' East Kilbride · On: A. Steele · Off: E. East
22. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' East Kilbride · On: A. Smith · Off: S. Culbert
23. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' East Kilbride 1–1 Montrose
24. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' East Kilbride win: 58% at kick-off, 30% now
25. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Montrose win 15%)
26. 72′A goal for East Kilbride on 71′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 29–56–15
27. 72′We said East Kilbride at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
28. 77′We said East Kilbride at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–64–12
29. 77′C. Elliott scores for East Kilbride on 72′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 23–64–12
30. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Montrose · On: G. Webster · Off: K. Freeman
31. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Montrose · On: B. Lyons · Off: H. Craig
32. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Montrose · On: E. Loudon · Off: J. Sutherland
33. 80′We said East Kilbride at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–10
34. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' East Kilbride win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
35. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Montrose
36. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Montrose · On: C. Oosenbrugh · Off: F. Duffy
37. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' East Kilbride · On: J. Balde · Off: L. McGrattan Corrected
38. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' East Kilbride
39. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' East Kilbride · On: B. Maguire · Off: D. O'Connor
40. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' East Kilbride
41. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' East Kilbride win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
42. 90′Full time, 1–1. We called East Kilbride at 58% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
43. FTFULL TIME East Kilbride 1–1 Montrose
44. FTEast Kilbride 1–1 Montrose · East Kilbride win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.