East Fife v Queen of the South prediction · League One

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

East FifeDrawQueen of the South

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Queen of the South 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Queen of the South are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: East Fife 32%, draw 27%, Queen of the South 41%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on East Fife v Queen of the SouthBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

East Fife win32%

Draw27%

Queen of the South win41%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 13

VenueMGM Timber Bayview Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

East Fife

Queen of the South

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · the Scottish League One

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Queen of the South	12	−21	13
9	East Fife	12	−7	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · queen of the south winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Queen of the South a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · East Fife v Queen of the South~~1.28 – 1.48

~~Form · last six in League One this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 9 v 13~~9 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
East Fife win	32%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Queen of the South win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
East Fife or draw	59%	–	–
East Fife clean sheet	23%	–	–
Queen of the South clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%

0123450 7.7 8.4 6.9 3.5 1 7.1 12.8 8.6 4.3 2 5.2 7.5 5.5 2.7 3 2.3 3.2 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+East Fife down, Queen of the South across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 988 League One matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: League One matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.3% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

East Fife at home: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Queen of the South away: 0.83 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.28 goals for East Fife, 1.48 for Queen of the South. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~QUE 1–1 EAS · QUE 2–2 EAS · EAS 1–5 QUE · QUE 3–0 EAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in League One this season · since 12 Sept

EAST FIFE

DLLDLL1–1 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 1–2

QUEEN OF THE SOUTH

LLWWLW0–8 · 1–4 · 4–3 · 1–0 · 1–7 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ross County	11	+36	31
2	Hamilton Academical	11	+21	31
3	Montrose	12	−3	19
4	East Kilbride	11	+5	18
5	Airdrie United	12	−9	13
6	Queen of the South	12	−21	13
7	Alloa Athletic	12	−2	12
8	Peterhead	12	−11	10
9	East Fife	12	−7	9
10	Cove Rangers	11	−9	6