Tranent Juniors v Lochee United prediction · Football League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Tranent Juniors 0–4 Lochee United TRANENT JUNIORS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Tranent Juniors win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.898

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Tranent Juniors are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tranent Juniors 54%, draw 21%, Lochee United 25%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Tranent Juniors v Lochee UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Tranent Juniors win54%

Draw21%

Lochee United win25%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tranent Juniors

Lochee United

7Days since last match14

Last match: 10 Oct · Football League - Lowland League

Last match: 3 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Tranent Juniors	10	+13	26
16	Lochee United	10	+5	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tranent juniors winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Tranent Juniors a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tranent Juniors v Lochee United~~1.93 – 1.22

~~Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 26 v 17~~2 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tranent Juniors win	54%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Lochee United win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Tranent Juniors or draw	75%	–	–
Tranent Juniors clean sheet	30%	–	–
Lochee United clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%

0123450 4.2 5.9 3.3 1 8.9 9.5 6.0 2.5 2 7.9 9.3 5.6 2.4 3 5.1 6.0 3.6 4 2.5 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tranent Juniors down, Lochee United across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,732 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 166 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Tranent Juniors at home: 1.83 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Lochee United away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.93 goals for Tranent Juniors, 1.22 for Lochee United. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug

TRANENT JUNIORS

WWWWDD3–0 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

LOCHEE UNITED

WWLWLD5–2 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 5–0 · 1–3 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	11	+20	27
2	Tranent Juniors	10	+13	26
3	Pollok	10	+13	23
4	Broxburn Athletic	10	+7	23
5	Largs Thistle	11	+5	23
6	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
7	Linlithgow Rose	10	+17	22
8	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
9	Brechin	9	+10	22
10	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	10	+4	22
11	Clydebank	9	+14	20
12	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	9	+14	18
13	Johnstone Burgh	10	+6	18
14	Celtic II	11	+8	17
15	Cumnock Juniors	11	+6	17
16	Lochee United	10	+5	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	10	0	16
18	Bo'ness United	10	−5	13
19	Troon FC	11	−3	12
20	Cumbernauld Colts	10	−3	10
21	East Stirlingshire	10	−7	10
22	Gretna 2008	11	−8	10
23	Renfrew	11	−10	10
24	Cowdenbeath	9	−2	9
25	Musselburgh Athletic	10	−5	9
26	Beith	11	−14	9
27	Albion Rovers	10	−11	8
28	Berwick Rangers	9	−8	5
29	Dunipace	9	−14	4
30	Newton Stewart	9	−28	4
31	Gala Fairydean Rovers	9	−13	3
32	Stirling University	10	−16	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	10	−29	1