Stirling University v Hill Of Beath Hawthorn prediction · Football League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Stirling University 1–2 Hill Of Beath Hawthorn HILL OF BEATH HAWTHORN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Hill Of Beath Hawthorn win~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.305

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stirling University 25%, draw 20%, Hill Of Beath Hawthorn 55%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Stirling University v Hill Of Beath HawthornBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Stirling University win25%

Draw20%

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn win55%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stirling University

Hill Of Beath Hawthorn

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	10	+4	22
32	Stirling University	10	−16	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hill of beath hawthorn winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Hill Of Beath Hawthorn a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–2.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stirling University v Hill Of Beath Hawthorn~~1.30 – 2.07

~~Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D0 L5 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 3 v 22~~32 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stirling University win	25%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Stirling University or draw	45%	–	–
Stirling University clean sheet	14%	–	–
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.0%

0123450 3.3 7.7 7.3 5.1 2.7 1 5.2 8.7 9.0 6.2 3.3 2 3.1 5.9 5.8 4.0 2.1 3 2.7 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stirling University down, Hill Of Beath Hawthorn across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,732 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 166 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Stirling University at home: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Hill Of Beath Hawthorn away: 1.80 scored, 1.60 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for Stirling University, 2.07 for Hill Of Beath Hawthorn. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug

STIRLING UNIVERSITY

LLWLLL2–4 · 2–5 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–6 · 2–3

HILL OF BEATH HAWTHORN

WWWWWD4–3 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	11	+20	27
2	Tranent Juniors	10	+13	26
3	Pollok	10	+13	23
4	Broxburn Athletic	10	+7	23
5	Largs Thistle	11	+5	23
6	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
7	Linlithgow Rose	10	+17	22
8	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
9	Brechin	9	+10	22
10	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	10	+4	22
11	Clydebank	9	+14	20
12	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	9	+14	18
13	Johnstone Burgh	10	+6	18
14	Celtic II	11	+8	17
15	Cumnock Juniors	11	+6	17
16	Lochee United	10	+5	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	10	0	16
18	Bo'ness United	10	−5	13
19	Troon FC	11	−3	12
20	Cumbernauld Colts	10	−3	10
21	East Stirlingshire	10	−7	10
22	Gretna 2008	11	−8	10
23	Renfrew	11	−10	10
24	Cowdenbeath	9	−2	9
25	Musselburgh Athletic	10	−5	9
26	Beith	11	−14	9
27	Albion Rovers	10	−11	8
28	Berwick Rangers	9	−8	5
29	Dunipace	9	−14	4
30	Newton Stewart	9	−28	4
31	Gala Fairydean Rovers	9	−13	3
32	Stirling University	10	−16	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	10	−29	1