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Stirling University v Berwick Rangers

Stirling University

19:45Upcoming

Berwick Rangers

Football League - Lowland League · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Stirling UniversityDrawBerwick Rangers

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Berwick Rangers 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Berwick Rangers are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stirling University 35%, draw 21%, Berwick Rangers 44%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Stirling University v Berwick RangersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Stirling University win35%

Draw21%

Berwick Rangers win44%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:45

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stirling University

Berwick Rangers

4Days since last match11

Last match: 24 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
29	Berwick Rangers	10	−9	5
32	Stirling University	11	−17	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · berwick rangers winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Berwick Rangers a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stirling University v Berwick Rangers~~1.60 – 1.83

~~Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D0 L5 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 3 v 5~~32 v 29

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stirling University win	35%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Berwick Rangers win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Stirling University or draw	56%	–	–
Stirling University clean sheet	17%	–	–
Berwick Rangers clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.9%

0123450 3.0 6.5 5.4 3.3 1 5.8 8.9 8.4 5.1 2.4 2 4.2 7.4 6.6 4.0 3 2.3 4.0 3.6 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stirling University down, Berwick Rangers across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,746 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.1% of games this season, across 180 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.30 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Stirling University at home: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Berwick Rangers away: 2.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Stirling University, 1.83 for Berwick Rangers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.30

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~BER 3–2 STI · BER 0–0 STI · STI 5–2 BER · STI 3–2 BER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug

STIRLING UNIVERSITY

LWLLLL2–5 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–6 · 2–3 · 1–2

BERWICK RANGERS

LLLLDL0–2 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	12	+24	30
2	Pollok	11	+15	26
3	Tranent Juniors	11	+9	26
4	Linlithgow Rose	11	+18	25
5	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	11	+5	25
6	Broxburn Athletic	11	+7	24
7	Clydebank	10	+16	23
8	Largs Thistle	12	+3	23
9	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
10	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
11	Brechin	10	+8	22
12	Lochee United	11	+9	20
13	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	10	+14	19
14	Johnstone Burgh	11	+6	19
15	Celtic II	11	+8	17
16	Cumnock Juniors	11	+6	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	11	0	17
18	Bo'ness United	11	−3	16
19	Troon FC	12	−2	15
20	Cumbernauld Colts	11	0	13
21	East Stirlingshire	11	−7	11
22	Gretna 2008	12	−8	11
23	Cowdenbeath	10	−2	10
24	Musselburgh Athletic	11	−5	10
25	Renfrew	11	−10	10
26	Beith	12	−16	9
27	Albion Rovers	11	−12	8
28	Gala Fairydean Rovers	10	−9	6
29	Berwick Rangers	10	−9	5
30	Dunipace	10	−18	4
31	Newton Stewart	10	−31	4
32	Stirling University	11	−17	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	11	−33	1