Largs Thistle v Pollok prediction · Football League

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 01:30

Largs Thistle 1–3 Pollok LARGS THISTLE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Largs Thistle win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.643

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Largs Thistle are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Largs Thistle 41%, draw 24%, Pollok 35%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Largs Thistle v PollokBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Largs Thistle win41%

Draw24%

Pollok win35%

Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 19:15

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Largs Thistle

Pollok

17Days since last match17

Last match: 3 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Pollok	10	+13	23
8	Largs Thistle	11	+5	23

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · largs thistle winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Largs Thistle a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Largs Thistle v Pollok~~1.45 – 1.33

~~Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 19 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 23 v 23~~8 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Largs Thistle win	41%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Pollok win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Largs Thistle or draw	65%	–	–
Largs Thistle clean sheet	28%	–	–
Pollok clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.3 9.0 5.5 2.5 1 9.7 11.0 7.6 3.4 2 6.5 8.2 5.4 2.5 3 3.2 4.1 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Largs Thistle down, Pollok across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,745 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.9% of games this season, across 179 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Largs Thistle at home: 2.00 scored, 0.40 conceded a game (last 5). Pollok away: 2.60 scored, 1.40 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Largs Thistle, 1.33 for Pollok. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 19 Aug

LARGS THISTLE

LWLWWD0–2 · 3–2 · 0–4 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

POLLOK

WWWLDW3–1 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	12	+24	30
2	Tranent Juniors	11	+9	26
3	Linlithgow Rose	11	+18	25
4	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	11	+5	25
5	Broxburn Athletic	11	+7	24
6	Clydebank	10	+16	23
7	Pollok	10	+13	23
8	Largs Thistle	11	+5	23
9	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
10	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
11	Brechin	10	+8	22
12	Lochee United	11	+9	20
13	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	10	+14	19
14	Johnstone Burgh	11	+6	19
15	Celtic II	11	+8	17
16	Cumnock Juniors	11	+6	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	11	0	17
18	Bo'ness United	11	−3	16
19	Troon FC	12	−2	15
20	Cumbernauld Colts	11	0	13
21	East Stirlingshire	11	−7	11
22	Gretna 2008	12	−8	11
23	Cowdenbeath	10	−2	10
24	Musselburgh Athletic	11	−5	10
25	Renfrew	11	−10	10
26	Beith	12	−16	9
27	Albion Rovers	11	−12	8
28	Gala Fairydean Rovers	10	−9	6
29	Berwick Rangers	10	−9	5
30	Dunipace	10	−18	4
31	Newton Stewart	10	−31	4
32	Stirling University	11	−17	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	11	−33	1