Gala Fairydean Rovers v Berwick Rangers prediction · Football League

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Gala Fairydean Rovers 1–1 Berwick Rangers GALA FAIRYDEAN ROVERS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Gala Fairydean Rovers win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.928

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gala Fairydean Rovers are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gala Fairydean Rovers 42%, draw 21%, Berwick Rangers 36%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Gala Fairydean Rovers v Berwick RangersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Gala Fairydean Rovers win42%

Draw21%

Berwick Rangers win36%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gala Fairydean Rovers

Berwick Rangers

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
28	Gala Fairydean Rovers	10	−9	6
29	Berwick Rangers	10	−9	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gala fairydean rovers winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:12 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Gala Fairydean Rovers a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gala Fairydean Rovers v Berwick Rangers~~1.79 – 1.64

~~Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D0 L5 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 6 v 5~~28 v 29

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Gala Fairydean Rovers win

Published at 40%, 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gala Fairydean Rovers win	42%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Berwick Rangers win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Gala Fairydean Rovers or draw	64%	–	–
Gala Fairydean Rovers clean sheet	20%	–	–
Berwick Rangers clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.1 5.9 4.4 2.4 1 6.4 9.0 7.6 4.2 2 5.2 8.3 6.7 3.7 3 3.1 4.9 4.0 2.2 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gala Fairydean Rovers down, Berwick Rangers across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,746 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 20 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.1% of games this season, across 180 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.60 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gala Fairydean Rovers at home: 2.17 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Berwick Rangers away: 2.00 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for Gala Fairydean Rovers, 1.64 for Berwick Rangers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.60

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~GAL 1–2 BER · BER 2–3 GAL · GAL 1–2 BER · BER 1–2 GAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug

GALA FAIRYDEAN ROVERS

LLLLLW3–4 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 5–1

BERWICK RANGERS

LLLLDL0–2 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	12	+24	30
2	Pollok	11	+15	26
3	Tranent Juniors	11	+9	26
4	Linlithgow Rose	11	+18	25
5	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	11	+5	25
6	Broxburn Athletic	11	+7	24
7	Clydebank	10	+16	23
8	Largs Thistle	12	+3	23
9	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
10	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
11	Brechin	10	+8	22
12	Lochee United	11	+9	20
13	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	10	+14	19
14	Johnstone Burgh	11	+6	19
15	Celtic II	11	+8	17
16	Cumnock Juniors	11	+6	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	11	0	17
18	Bo'ness United	11	−3	16
19	Troon FC	12	−2	15
20	Cumbernauld Colts	11	0	13
21	East Stirlingshire	11	−7	11
22	Gretna 2008	12	−8	11
23	Cowdenbeath	10	−2	10
24	Musselburgh Athletic	11	−5	10
25	Renfrew	11	−10	10
26	Beith	12	−16	9
27	Albion Rovers	11	−12	8
28	Gala Fairydean Rovers	10	−9	6
29	Berwick Rangers	10	−9	5
30	Dunipace	10	−18	4
31	Newton Stewart	10	−31	4
32	Stirling University	11	−17	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	11	−33	1