Dunipace v Gala Fairydean Rovers prediction · Football League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Dunipace 1–5 Gala Fairydean Rovers DUNIPACE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dunipace win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.586

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Dunipace just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Dunipace 40%, draw 22%, Gala Fairydean Rovers 38%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Dunipace v Gala Fairydean RoversBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dunipace win40%

Draw22%

Gala Fairydean Rovers win38%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dunipace

Gala Fairydean Rovers

14Days since last match4

Last match: 3 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

Last match: 13 Oct · the Scottish Challenge Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
29	Dunipace	9	−14	4
31	Gala Fairydean Rovers	9	−13	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dunipace winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Dunipace a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dunipace v Gala Fairydean Rovers~~1.67 – 1.63

~~Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 8 Aug~~W1 D1 L4 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 4 v 3~~29 v 31

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dunipace win	40%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Gala Fairydean Rovers win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Dunipace or draw	62%	–	–
Dunipace clean sheet	20%	–	–
Gala Fairydean Rovers clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.6 6.7 5.0 2.7 1 6.8 9.4 7.9 4.3 2 5.2 8.0 6.4 3.5 3 2.9 4.5 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dunipace down, Gala Fairydean Rovers across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,732 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 166 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Dunipace at home: 1.20 scored, 2.20 conceded a game (last 5). Gala Fairydean Rovers away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Dunipace, 1.63 for Gala Fairydean Rovers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 8 Aug

DUNIPACE

DLLLWL2–2 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 0–3

GALA FAIRYDEAN ROVERS

LLLLLL0–5 · 3–4 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	11	+20	27
2	Tranent Juniors	10	+13	26
3	Pollok	10	+13	23
4	Broxburn Athletic	10	+7	23
5	Largs Thistle	11	+5	23
6	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
7	Linlithgow Rose	10	+17	22
8	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
9	Brechin	9	+10	22
10	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	10	+4	22
11	Clydebank	9	+14	20
12	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	9	+14	18
13	Johnstone Burgh	10	+6	18
14	Celtic II	11	+8	17
15	Cumnock Juniors	11	+6	17
16	Lochee United	10	+5	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	10	0	16
18	Bo'ness United	10	−5	13
19	Troon FC	11	−3	12
20	Cumbernauld Colts	10	−3	10
21	East Stirlingshire	10	−7	10
22	Gretna 2008	11	−8	10
23	Renfrew	11	−10	10
24	Cowdenbeath	9	−2	9
25	Musselburgh Athletic	10	−5	9
26	Beith	11	−14	9
27	Albion Rovers	10	−11	8
28	Berwick Rangers	9	−8	5
29	Dunipace	9	−14	4
30	Newton Stewart	9	−28	4
31	Gala Fairydean Rovers	9	−13	3
32	Stirling University	10	−16	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	10	−29	1