Civil Service Strollers v East Stirlingshire prediction · Football League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Civil Service Strollers 3–3 East Stirlingshire CIVIL SERVICE STROLLERS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Civil Service Strollers win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.963

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Civil Service Strollers are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Civil Service Strollers 49%, draw 21%, East Stirlingshire 30%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Civil Service Strollers v East StirlingshireBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Civil Service Strollers win49%

Draw21%

East Stirlingshire win30%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Civil Service Strollers

East Stirlingshire

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
17	Civil Service Strollers	10	0	16
21	East Stirlingshire	10	−7	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · civil service strollers winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Civil Service Strollers a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Civil Service Strollers v East Stirlingshire~~2.00 – 1.53

~~Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 16 v 10~~17 v 21

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Civil Service Strollers win	49%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
East Stirlingshire win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Civil Service Strollers or draw	70%	–	–
Civil Service Strollers clean sheet	22%	–	–
East Stirlingshire clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.7%

0123450 2.7 5.1 3.5 1 6.4 8.5 6.7 3.5 2 5.9 8.7 6.6 3.4 3 3.9 5.8 4.4 2.3 4 2.9 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Civil Service Strollers down, East Stirlingshire across0–5 goals a side shown (97.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,732 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 166 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.90 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Civil Service Strollers at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). East Stirlingshire away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.00 goals for Civil Service Strollers, 1.53 for East Stirlingshire. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.90

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CIV 1–0 EAS · EAS 0–2 CIV · CIV 0–0 EAS · EAS 1–1 CIV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug

CIVIL SERVICE STROLLERS

LLWWLW0–2 · 0–4 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 3–2

EAST STIRLINGSHIRE

LWLLLL0–3 · 3–0 · 2–4 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	11	+20	27
2	Tranent Juniors	10	+13	26
3	Pollok	10	+13	23
4	Broxburn Athletic	10	+7	23
5	Largs Thistle	11	+5	23
6	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
7	Linlithgow Rose	10	+17	22
8	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
9	Brechin	9	+10	22
10	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	10	+4	22
11	Clydebank	9	+14	20
12	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	9	+14	18
13	Johnstone Burgh	10	+6	18
14	Celtic II	11	+8	17
15	Cumnock Juniors	11	+6	17
16	Lochee United	10	+5	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	10	0	16
18	Bo'ness United	10	−5	13
19	Troon FC	11	−3	12
20	Cumbernauld Colts	10	−3	10
21	East Stirlingshire	10	−7	10
22	Gretna 2008	11	−8	10
23	Renfrew	11	−10	10
24	Cowdenbeath	9	−2	9
25	Musselburgh Athletic	10	−5	9
26	Beith	11	−14	9
27	Albion Rovers	10	−11	8
28	Berwick Rangers	9	−8	5
29	Dunipace	9	−14	4
30	Newton Stewart	9	−28	4
31	Gala Fairydean Rovers	9	−13	3
32	Stirling University	10	−16	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	10	−29	1