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Caledonian Braves v Albion Rovers

Caledonian Braves

19:45Upcoming

Albion Rovers

Football League - Lowland League · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Caledonian BravesDrawAlbion Rovers

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Caledonian Braves 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Caledonian Braves are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Caledonian Braves 65%, draw 18%, Albion Rovers 17%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Caledonian Braves v Albion RoversBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Caledonian Braves win65%

Draw18%

Albion Rovers win17%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundRegular season

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Caledonian Braves

Albion Rovers

3Days since last match10

Last match: 24 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
27	Albion Rovers	11	−12	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · caledonian braves winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Caledonian Braves a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Caledonian Braves v Albion Rovers~~2.35 – 1.09

~~Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 22 v 8~~10 v 27

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Caledonian Braves win	65%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Albion Rovers win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Caledonian Braves or draw	83%	–	–
Caledonian Braves clean sheet	34%	–	–
Albion Rovers clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.3%

0123450 3.1 4.1 2.0 1 8.1 7.9 4.5 2 8.8 9.3 5.1 3 6.8 7.2 3.9 4 4.1 4.3 2.3 5 2.0 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Caledonian Braves down, Albion Rovers across0–5 goals a side shown (96.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,747 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.7% of games this season, across 181 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.29 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Caledonian Braves at home: 4.00 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Albion Rovers away: 0.83 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.35 goals for Caledonian Braves, 1.09 for Albion Rovers. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.29

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~5 of 7

~~Last meetings~~ALB 2–0 CAL · CAL 3–4 ALB · ALB 0–3 CAL · CAL 1–3 ALB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug

CALEDONIAN BRAVES

WWLLWW3–1 · 5–2 · 1–3 · 2–4 · 5–0 · 1–0

ALBION ROVERS

LDLWLL1–3 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–5 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	12	+24	30
2	Pollok	11	+15	26
3	Tranent Juniors	11	+9	26
4	Linlithgow Rose	11	+18	25
5	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	11	+5	25
6	Broxburn Athletic	11	+7	24
7	Clydebank	10	+16	23
8	Largs Thistle	12	+3	23
9	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
10	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
11	Brechin	10	+8	22
12	Lochee United	11	+9	20
13	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	10	+14	19
14	Johnstone Burgh	11	+6	19
15	Celtic II	11	+8	17
16	Cumnock Juniors	11	+6	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	11	0	17
18	Bo'ness United	11	−3	16
19	Troon FC	12	−2	15
20	Cumbernauld Colts	11	0	13
21	East Stirlingshire	11	−7	11
22	Gretna 2008	12	−8	11
23	Cowdenbeath	10	−2	10
24	Musselburgh Athletic	11	−5	10
25	Renfrew	11	−10	10
26	Beith	12	−16	9
27	Albion Rovers	11	−12	8
28	Gala Fairydean Rovers	10	−9	6
29	Berwick Rangers	10	−9	5
30	Dunipace	10	−18	4
31	Newton Stewart	10	−31	4
32	Stirling University	11	−17	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	11	−33	1