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Broxburn Athletic v Tranent Juniors

Broxburn Athletic

1–1Full time

Tranent Juniors

Football League - Lowland League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Broxburn Athletic 1–1 Tranent Juniors TRANENT JUNIORS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Tranent Juniors win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.897

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Broxburn Athletic win30%

Draw23%

Tranent Juniors win47%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · tranent juniors winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Tranent Juniors a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Broxburn Athletic win	30%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Tranent Juniors win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Broxburn Athletic or draw	53%	–	–
Broxburn Athletic clean sheet	20%	–	–
Tranent Juniors clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.5 9.9 7.6 4.1 1 7.6 10.7 9.0 4.9 2.1 2 4.4 6.9 5.5 3.0 3 2.9 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Broxburn Athletic down, Tranent Juniors across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,729 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 71.2% of games this season, across 163 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 4.25 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Broxburn Athletic at home: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Tranent Juniors away: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Broxburn Athletic, 1.63 for Tranent Juniors. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~4.25

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~TRA 3–0 BRO · BRO 1–3 TRA · TRA 5–2 BRO · BRO 2–1 TRA

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League

BROXBURN ATHLETIC

WDWWLW2–0 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 2–1

TRANENT JUNIORS

WWWWWD2–1 · 3–0 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	11	+20	27
2	Tranent Juniors	9	+13	25
3	Pollok	10	+13	23
4	Largs Thistle	11	+5	23
5	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
6	Linlithgow Rose	10	+17	22
7	Brechin	9	+10	22
8	Broxburn Athletic	9	+7	22
9	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	10	+4	22
10	Clydebank	9	+14	20
11	Caledonian Braves	10	+10	19
12	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	9	+14	18
13	Johnstone Burgh	10	+6	18
14	Celtic II	10	+9	17
15	Cumnock Juniors	10	+7	17
16	Lochee United	10	+5	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	10	0	16
18	Bo'ness United	10	−5	13
19	Troon FC	11	−3	12
20	Cumbernauld Colts	10	−3	10
21	East Stirlingshire	10	−7	10
22	Gretna 2008	11	−8	10
23	Cowdenbeath	9	−2	9
24	Musselburgh Athletic	10	−5	9
25	Beith	11	−14	9
26	Albion Rovers	10	−11	8
27	Renfrew	10	−11	7
28	Berwick Rangers	9	−8	5
29	Dunipace	9	−14	4
30	Newton Stewart	9	−28	4
31	Gala Fairydean Rovers	9	−13	3
32	Stirling University	10	−16	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	10	−29	1