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Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic v Bo'ness United

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

19:45Upcoming

Bo'ness United

Football League - Lowland League · TUE 27 OCT · New Dundas Park

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticDrawBo'ness United

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 65%, draw 17%, Bo'ness United 18%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic v Bo'ness UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win65%

Draw17%

Bo'ness United win18%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundRegular season

VenueNew Dundas Park

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

Bo'ness United

10Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · Football League - Lowland League

Last match: 24 Oct · the Scottish FA Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	10	+14	19
18	Bo'ness United	11	−3	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bonnyrigg rose athletic winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic v Bo'ness United~~2.50 – 1.23

~~Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 19 v 16~~13 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win	65%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Bo'ness United win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic or draw	82%	–	–
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic clean sheet	30%	–	–
Bo'ness United clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.9%

0123450 2.3 3.4 1 6.5 7.1 4.5 2 7.5 8.9 5.5 2.3 3 6.2 7.3 4.5 4 3.9 4.6 2.8 5 2.0 2.4

under 2% 5% 12%+Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic down, Bo'ness United across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,747 Football League - Lowland League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Football League - Lowland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.7% of games this season, across 181 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.20 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic at home: 2.67 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Bo'ness United away: 2.33 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.50 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic, 1.23 for Bo'ness United. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.20

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~NES 0–4 BON · BON 4–0 NES · NES 1–1 BON · BON 3–0 NES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Football League - Lowland League this season · since 22 Aug

BONNYRIGG ROSE ATHLETIC

WLLWWD2–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 6–1 · 2–2

BO'NESS UNITED

WLLWLW5–2 · 1–2 · 0–5 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kilwinning Rangers	12	+24	30
2	Pollok	11	+15	26
3	Tranent Juniors	11	+9	26
4	Linlithgow Rose	11	+18	25
5	Hill Of Beath Hawthorn	11	+5	25
6	Broxburn Athletic	11	+7	24
7	Clydebank	10	+16	23
8	Largs Thistle	12	+3	23
9	Auchinleck Talbot	11	+23	22
10	Caledonian Braves	11	+11	22
11	Brechin	10	+8	22
12	Lochee United	11	+9	20
13	Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic	10	+14	19
14	Johnstone Burgh	11	+6	19
15	Celtic II	11	+8	17
16	Cumnock Juniors	11	+6	17
17	Civil Service Strollers	11	0	17
18	Bo'ness United	11	−3	16
19	Troon FC	12	−2	15
20	Cumbernauld Colts	11	0	13
21	East Stirlingshire	11	−7	11
22	Gretna 2008	12	−8	11
23	Cowdenbeath	10	−2	10
24	Musselburgh Athletic	11	−5	10
25	Renfrew	11	−10	10
26	Beith	12	−16	9
27	Albion Rovers	11	−12	8
28	Gala Fairydean Rovers	10	−9	6
29	Berwick Rangers	10	−9	5
30	Dunipace	10	−18	4
31	Newton Stewart	10	−31	4
32	Stirling University	11	−17	3
33	Dalbeattie Star	11	−33	1