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Turriff United v Forres Mechanics

Turriff United

2–0Full time

Forres Mechanics

Football League - Highland League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Turriff United 2–0 Forres Mechanics TURRIFF UNITED WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Turriff United win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.450

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Turriff United win45%

Draw24%

Forres Mechanics win31%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · turriff united winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Turriff United a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Turriff United win	45%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Forres Mechanics win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Turriff United or draw	69%	–	–
Turriff United clean sheet	25%	–	–
Forres Mechanics clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 4.8 5.9 4.3 2.0 1 7.4 10.6 7.2 3.4 2 6.5 8.9 6.2 2.9 3 3.8 5.2 3.6 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Turriff United down, Forres Mechanics across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,646 Football League - Highland League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Football League - Highland League matches have gone over 2.5 in 69.0% of games this season, across 116 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 3.30 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Turriff United at home: 1.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Forres Mechanics away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.74 goals for Turriff United, 1.40 for Forres Mechanics. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.30

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~TUR 2–2 FOR · FOR 0–3 TUR · FOR 1–6 TUR · TUR 2–2 FOR

Form · last six in Football League - Highland League

TURRIFF UNITED

LLWLWL1–3 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 0–1

FORRES MECHANICS

LLWWWL1–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 2–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Brora Rangers	13	+41	35
2	Inverurie Loco Works	14	+10	29
3	Formartine United	13	+8	25
4	Fraserburgh	12	+16	24
5	Clachnacuddin	12	+17	20
6	Strathspey Thistle	14	+7	20
7	Forres Mechanics	13	+3	20
8	Buckie Thistle	12	+12	19
9	Banks O' Dee	13	+2	19
10	Huntly	13	+5	18
11	Nairn County	13	−2	17
12	Lossiemouth	13	−8	17
13	Turriff United	13	−2	16
14	Keith	13	−10	15
15	Deveronvale	13	−5	12
16	Invergordon	13	−21	10
17	Wick Academy	13	−27	6
18	Rothes	12	−46	3